Grêmio Novorizontino vs Londrina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
22/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 1
  • Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.461.02
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
93
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
97
Passes
82% (334/407)77% (265/344)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.461.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.731.73
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
94
Shots inside the box
167
Shots outside the box
84
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
3615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free kicks
99
Passes
82% (334/407)77% (265/344)
Long passes
61% (35/57)32% (18/57)
Passes in final third
71% (115/162)69% (54/78)
Crosses
37% (15/41)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.50
Throw ins
3121
Fouls
99
Tackles
79% (15/19)80% (16/20)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
1437
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
08
xGOT faced
1.732.73
Goals prevented
-1.271.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Kevyn 🟨,
  • 36', Iago Teles 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Gilberto , Bruno Santos ,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Bruno Santos , Vitinho Mota (A),
  • 57', 0 - 2, Lucas Marques , Iago Teles (A),
  • 59', Romulo , Ortiz C. ,
  • 60', Luis Oyama , Juninho ,
  • 66', Tavinho , Diego Mathias ,
  • 66', Robson , Carlao ,
  • 72', Lucas Marques , Fabiano ,
  • 72', Andre Dhominique , Heron ,
  • 72', Vitinho Mota , Paulinho Moccelin ,
  • 83', Diego Galo , Jardiel ,
  • 83', Thalis , Joao Tavares ,
  • 83', Mauricio Kozlinski 🟨,
  • 89', 0 - 3, Andre Luiz ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 3, Carlao ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
54.4%
Draw
27.3%
Londrina
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.5% 22% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 23.1% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Novorizontino's form might have worsened.
  • Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.47)
    3.41
    (4.24)
    5.06
    (6.47)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Helio Borges (Inactive) Marlon (Inactive) Maykon Jesus (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina were as follows:
    17.11.2023 Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    19.07.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina 3:0
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of Londrina
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo SP11004:043
    2Goias11003:123
    3Londrina11003:123
    4Avai11002:023
    5Athletic Club11002:113
    6Criciuma11001:013
    7Operario-PR11001:013
    8CRB10102:201
    9Vila Nova FC10102:201
    10Sao Bernardo10101:101
    11Cuiaba10100:001
    12Ceara10101:101
    13Sport Recife10100:001
    14Ponte Preta10011:2-10
    15Nautico10010:1-10
    16Atletico GO10010:1-10
    17America MG10011:3-20
    18Novorizontino10011:3-20
    19Juventude10010:2-20
    20Fortaleza10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )