Result
1:3
22/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 1
- Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (334/407) | 77% (265/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.73 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (334/407) | 77% (265/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (35/57) | 32% (18/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (115/162) | 69% (54/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 80% (16/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | 1.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Kevyn 🟨,
- 36', Iago Teles 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Gilberto ↓, Bruno Santos ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Bruno Santos ⚽, Vitinho Mota (A),
- 57', 0 - 2, Lucas Marques ⚽, Iago Teles (A),
- 59', Romulo ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 60', Luis Oyama ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 66', Tavinho ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
- 66', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
- 72', Lucas Marques ↓, Fabiano ↑,
- 72', Andre Dhominique ↓, Heron ↑,
- 72', Vitinho Mota ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
- 83', Diego Galo ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 83', Thalis ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
- 83', Mauricio Kozlinski 🟨,
- 89', 0 - 3, Andre Luiz ⚽,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Carlao ⚽,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
54.4% | Draw
27.3% | Londrina
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Novorizontino's form might have worsened.Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.47) |
3.41 ↓
(4.24) |
5.06 ↓
(6.47) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Londrina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Helio Borges
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Maykon Jesus
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Londrina?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Londrina won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Londrina has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Londrina were as follows:
17.11.2023
Londrina
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:1
19.07.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Londrina
3:0
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Londrina
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Ceara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Operario-PR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Goias | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Nautico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sport Recife | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Juventude | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico GO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | CRB | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | America MG | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
