Result
4:0
20/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (182/243) | 88% (530/604) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.27 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (182/243) | 88% (530/604) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (13/43) | 59% (32/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 69% (67/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Robson ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, Robson ⚽, Mayk (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Murilo ↓, Benedetti ↑,
- 46', Tavinho ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
- 60', Martinez E. ↓, Marlon Freitas ↑,
- 60', Riquelme Fillipi ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 61', Raphael Veiga ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Robson ⚽, Helio Borges (A),
- 66', Robson 🟨,
- 70', Khellven 🟨,
- 72', 4 - 0, Helio Borges ⚽,
- 73', Juninho ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 77', Larson ↓, Luis Pacheco ↑,
- 80', Robson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
- 85', Luis Oyama ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
- 85', Maykon Jesus ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
- 87', Patrick 🟨,
- 88', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
18.2% | Draw
28.3% | Palmeiras
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.13 ↑
(5.01) |
3.29 ↑
(3.12) |
1.74 ↓
(1.76) |
7.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1.
- Palmeiras is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Palmeiras is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Andreas Pereira
(Inactive)
Felipe Anderson
(Injury)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Torres F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:25. (average 0.5:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Palmeiras?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras were as follows:
25.01.2025
Palmeiras
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
28.03.2024
Palmeiras
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
21.01.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Palmeiras
1:1
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bragantino | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Capivariano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Primavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Velo Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portuguesa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Noroeste | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Guarani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
