Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 4
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (393/478) | 75% (237/316) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (74/115) | 50% (26/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 63% (5/8) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Mayke (A),
- 45+3', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pedro Balotelli ↓, Rodrigo Soares ↑,
- 46', Igor Formiga ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 62', Pablo Dyego 🟨,
- 63', Dantas ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 63', Luis Oyama ↓, Robson ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Pablo Dyego (Pen),
- 71', Romulo ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 77', Raphael Veiga ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 77', Allan ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 80', Pablo Dyego ↓, Rafael Donato ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Robson ⚽, Rodrigo Soares (A),
- 84', Mayke ↓, Marcos Rocha ↑,
- 84', Caio Paulista ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 89', Jordi 🟨,
- 90+7', Bruno Jose 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
56.9% | Draw
26% | Grêmio Novorizontino
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras's form might have worsened.Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.43) |
3.58 ↓
(4.07) |
5.48 ↓
(7.59) |
7.1%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
Grêmio Novorizontino will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3.
- Palmeiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Palmeiras is certain favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24:3 (average 2.7:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:0 (average 3.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Palmeiras?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
28.03.2024
Palmeiras
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
21.01.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Palmeiras
1:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
