Result
3:1 penalties
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Brunao ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Brunao (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Victor J. ↓, Luis Fernando ↑,
- 61', Derick ↓, Favero ↑,
- 65', Renatinho ↓, Nelsinho ↑,
- 67', Alan James ↓, Wagner Marques ↑,
- 73', Matheus Anjos ↓, Vitor Braga ↑,
- 73', Brunao ↓, Jean Silva ↑,
- 73', Afonso ↓, Cesar ↑,
- 80', Pedro D. ↓, Igor Pimenta ↑,
- 80', Douglas ↓, Andre ↑,
- 85', Jean Silva 🟨,
- 90+1', Luis Fernando 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Mateus Muller ⚽,
- 90+12', Cesar 🟥,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Mateus Muller (Pen),
- 1, Vitor Braga (Pen),
- 2, Kauan (Pen),
- 2, Josiel (Pen),
- 3, Alan Uchoa (Pen),
- 3, Cleiton (Pen),
- 4, Favero (Pen),
- 4, Jean Silva (Pen),
- 5, Jonatha Carlos (Pen),
- 5, Junior Caicara (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 7, (Pen),
- 7, (Pen),
Chances of winning
EC Primavera
56.6% | Draw
21.9% | Grêmio Prudente
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Primavera's performance.Grêmio Prudente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grêmio Prudente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC Primavera that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio Prudente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
EC Primavera - Grêmio Prudente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.26) |
5.22 ↑
(3.4) |
5.35 ↑
(2.8) |
-12.7%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Primavera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grêmio Prudente is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has EC Primavera won against Grêmio Prudente?
EC Primavera has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Prudente won against EC Primavera?
Grêmio Prudente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Primavera - Grêmio Prudente were as follows:
20.09.2025
Grêmio Prudente
-
EC Primavera
1:0
29.01.2025
Grêmio Prudente
-
EC Primavera
2:2
Latest results of EC Primavera
Latest results of Grêmio Prudente
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | AEA Aracatuba | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | Oeste | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Sao Jose EC | Sao Bento | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Comercial | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Uniao Sao Joao | Noroeste | 3 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Primavera | Paulista | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Gremio Prudente | Sao Caetano | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Monte Azul | Francana | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Oeste | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | Comercial | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Uniao Sao Joao | Primavera | 0 : 2, 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | Francana | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Piracicaba | Comercial | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Primavera | Gremio Prudente | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final
