Result
0:0
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (254/339) | 88% (513/583) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (254/339) | 88% (513/583) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 63% (27/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (46/79) | 76% (104/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', F. Rojas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Luan Candido ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
- 62', Cristaldo F. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 62', Cuellar G. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 70', Sandoval T. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 74', Alysson ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 77', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 81', F. Rojas ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 90', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Jemerson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
18.2% | Draw
26.5% | Grêmio
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlético Grau - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.16 ↑
(4.21) |
3.52 ↑
(3.38) |
1.7 ↓
(1.87) |
6.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Grêmio (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grêmio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Grau has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grêmio is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Grêmio?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Atlético Grau?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Grêmio were as follows:
08.04.2025
Grêmio
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Draw
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