Result
25/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Grêmio
43.1% | Draw
28.2% | Atlético Mineiro
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Grêmio - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.23) |
3.35 ↓
(3.43) |
3.26 ↑
(3.07) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Atlético Mineiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Grêmio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Atlético MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Perez L.
(Inactive)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Wagner Leonardo
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Injury)
Lyanco
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Monsalve M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Atlético Mineiro?
Grêmio has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Grêmio?
Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
17.08.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Grêmio
1:3
29.03.2025
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
09.10.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Grêmio
2:1
01.09.2024
Grêmio
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:3
26.11.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Grêmio
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
