Avenida vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
10/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.792.45
Ball possession
25%75%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
15
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
17
Passes
73% (142/195)91% (547/602)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.792.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.023.28
Total shots
913
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
57
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1634
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
1110
Passes
73% (142/195)91% (547/602)
Long passes
47% (18/38)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
57% (44/77)86% (143/166)
Crosses
33% (4/12)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.352.06
Throw ins
1313
Fouls
1011
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (5/7)
Duels won
3332
Clearances
2710
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
3.280.02
Goals prevented
-0.720.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Amuzu F. , Tiago (A),
  • 49', 0 - 2, Wagner Leonardo , Roger (A),
  • 54', 0 - 3, Roger , Cristaldo F. (A),
  • 56', Anderson Recife , Ze Pedro ,
  • 57', Tinga , Ranisson ,
  • 57', Cristian Lessa , Emerson Junior ,
  • 57', Cristaldo F. , Willian ,
  • 57', Tiago , Dodi ,
  • 57', Amuzu F. , Aravena A. ,
  • 58', Roger , Pavon C. ,
  • 66', Pavon C. 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 4, Arthur Melo ,
  • 74', Tucao Emerson , Luisinho ,
  • 75', Carlos Vinicius , Riquelme ,
  • 76', Ze Pedro 🟨,
  • 88', Xandy , Wesley Pionteck ,

Chances of winning


Avenida
10.3%
Draw
21%
Grêmio
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 24.4% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avenida's form might have worsened.
  • Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.
  • Avenida - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.95
    (5.24)
    4.33
    (3.69)
    1.35
    (1.55)
    8.6%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 0.
    • Grêmio has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Grêmio is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.7:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avenida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avenida - Grêmio were as follows:
    03.02.2024 Avenida - Grêmio 0:1
    12.02.2023 Grêmio - Avenida 2:0
    Latest results of Avenida
    Latest results of Grêmio
    07.12.2025 Sport Recife - Grêmio 0:4
    02.12.2025 Grêmio - Fluminense 1:2
    25.11.2025 Grêmio - Palmeiras 3:2
    22.11.2025 Botafogo RJ - Grêmio 3:2
    19.11.2025 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio