Result
1:1
24/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (363/424) | 88% (457/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (363/424) | 88% (457/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (102/138) | 74% (88/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 33', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pavon C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 46', Noriega E. ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Cuiabano ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
- 63', Jeffinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 66', Edenilson ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
- 70', Willian ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 78', Andre Henrique ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 83', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 88', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Tiago Volpi (Pen),
- 90+4', Artur ↓, Barria K. ↑,
- 90+9', Kaio 🟨,
- 90+9', Kaio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
33.2% | Draw
30.9% | Botafogo RJ
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Grêmio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2%)
Grêmio - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.85) |
3.07 ↓
(3.34) |
2.64 ↑
(2.46) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Allan
(Muscle Injury)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo Barbosa
(Inactive)
Marlon Freitas
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Martins
(Hamstring Injury)
Savarino J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Botafogo RJ?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Grêmio?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
28.09.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Grêmio
0:0
16.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Botafogo RJ
1:2
09.11.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Grêmio
3:4
09.07.2023
Grêmio
-
Botafogo RJ
0:2
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
