Result
3:2
22/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 35
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/441) | 89% (490/549) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (376/441) | 89% (490/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 67% (43/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/124) | 73% (83/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Cuiabano ⚽,
- 19', 2 - 0, Artur ⚽, Danilo (A),
- 27', Danilo ↓, Newton ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lucas Esteves ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 46', Alysson ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Andre Henrique ⚽, Pavon C. (A),
- 50', Noriega E. 🟨,
- 55', Barria K. ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
- 55', Correa J. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 59', Dodi 🟨,
- 66', Edenilson ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 70', Marlon 🟨,
- 72', Noriega E. ↓, Viery ↑,
- 72', Andre Henrique ↓, Carlos Vinicius ↑,
- 77', Vitinho 🟨,
- 78', Gustavo Martins 🟨,
- 78', Artur ↓, Marcal ↑,
- 78', Savarino J. 🟨,
- 78', Savarino J. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Marcal ⚽, David Ricardo (A),
- 90', 3 - 2, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Pavon C. (A),
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
57.8% | Draw
24.6% | Grêmio
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Botafogo RJ - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.72) |
3.86 ↑
(3.55) |
5.3 ↑
(4.7) |
5.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
Botafogo RJ will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
- Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Yellow Cards)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Martins
(Muscle Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Thigh Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Olivera C.
(Ankle Injury)
Pavon C.
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Wagner Leonardo
(Yellow Cards)
Willian
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Ramos C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Aravena A.
(Inactive)
Marcos Rocha
(Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Inactive)
Noriega E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Grêmio?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Botafogo RJ?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Grêmio were as follows:
24.09.2025
Grêmio
-
Botafogo RJ
1:1
28.09.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Grêmio
0:0
16.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Botafogo RJ
1:2
09.11.2023
Botafogo RJ
-
Grêmio
3:4
09.07.2023
Grêmio
-
Botafogo RJ
0:2
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
