Result
0:2
21/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (113/177) | 87% (436/502) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (113/177) | 87% (436/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (13/39) | 65% (32/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 78% (135/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Adailson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Michel Bennech 🟨,
- 50', Michel Bennech 🟥,
- 52', Adailson ↓, Alberte ↑,
- 57', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 61', Andre Henrique ↓, Carlos Vinicius ↑,
- 61', Enamorado J. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 62', Roger ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
- 72', Dodi ↓, Jefinho ↑,
- 74', 0 - 1, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Gabriel Mec (A),
- 78', Jefinho 🟨,
- 80', Joao Pedro ↓, Marcos Rocha ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Edenilson ⚽,
- 85', Tony Junior ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 85', Raphinha ↓, Allan ↑,
- 85', David Cunha ↓, Vitor Oliveira ↑,
- 87', Allan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guarany de Bagé 16.8% | Draw 25.5% | Grêmio 57.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio's recent form is better than expected.
Guarany de Bagé - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.48 ↑ (4.57) |
3.55 ↑ (3.23) |
1.59 ↓ (1.74) |
9.3% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guarany de Bagé - Grêmio?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Grêmio (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Grêmio is the clear favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Grêmio?
Guarany de Bagé has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Guarany de Bagé?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Grêmio were as follows:
02.03.2024
Grêmio
-
Guarany de Bagé
4:1
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final