Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1, Dubai Sports 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.06 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (364/428) | 80% (273/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.06 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (364/428) | 80% (273/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (14/35) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (94/134) | 68% (56/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.05 | 0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 21', 1 - 0, Alan Patrick (Pen),
- 29', 1 - 1, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Marlon (A),
- 33', Bernabei A. 🟨,
- 43', Rodriguez A. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 44', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 45+6', 2 - 1, Alan Patrick (Pen),
- 45+8', 2 - 2, Andre Henrique ⚽, Willian (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Aguirre B. 🟨,
- 62', Willian ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 62', Pavon C. ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 3, Alysson ⚽, Andre Henrique (A),
- 63', Bruno Tabata ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 63', Richard ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
- 69', Cuellar G. ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 70', Edenilson ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 71', Mano Menezes 🟨,
- 73', Arthur Melo 🟥,
- 75', Bruno Henrique ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
- 77', Juninho 🟨,
- 90', Bernabei A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ricardo Mathias 🟨,
- 90+7', Andre Henrique 🟨,
- 90+10', Alan Patrick (Pen),
- 90+11', Marlon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Internacional RS
50.9% | Draw
28% | Grêmio
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Internacional RS - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.81) |
3.38 ↑
(3.28) |
4.57 ↓
(4.73) |
5.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Grêmio?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Internacional RS will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.
- Recent form of Internacional has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Internacional is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Internacional: Borre R.
(Muscle Injury)
Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Ronaldo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Walter Kannemann
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Freitas dos Santos R.
(Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Grêmio?
Internacional RS has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Internacional RS?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Grêmio were as follows:
19.04.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
1:1
08.03.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
0:2
08.02.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
1:1
19.10.2024
Internacional RS
-
Grêmio
1:0
22.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
0:1
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
