Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.33 |
| Ball possession |
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| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 13 | 1 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (316/377) | 62% (106/172) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.70 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.45 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 13 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 40 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 20 | 23 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (316/377) | 62% (106/172) |
| Long passes |
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| 60% (25/42) | 25% (16/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 73% (118/162) | 42% (22/53) |
| Crosses |
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| 38% (19/50) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.99 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
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| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 23 | 20 |
| Tackles |
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| 38% (5/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
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| 4 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.31 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.69 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 6', Andre Henrique 🟨,
- 7', Borre R. 🟨,
- 25', Amuzu F. 🟨,
- 32', Weverton 🟨,
- 45+3', Viery 🟨,
- 45+7', Anthoni 🟨,
- 45+9', 0 - 1, Gustavo Martins ⚽, Noriega E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Amuzu F. ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
- 46', Viery ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
- 54', Ronaldo ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
- 54', Vitinho ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 56', Monsalve M. ↓, Willian ↑,
- 78', Wagner Leonardo 🟥,
- 81', Enamorado J. ↓, Walter Kannemann ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Alan Patrick (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Alerrandro 🟨,
- 89', Bruno Gomes ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 89', Allex ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 90+2', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 90+4', Arthur Melo 🟨,
- 90+4', Arthur Melo ↓, Dodi ↑,
Chances of winning
Internacional RS 52.1% | Draw 27.6% | Grêmio 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Internacional RS - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.73) |
3.32 ↓ (3.74) |
4.47 ↑ (3.96) |
8.8% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.
- Internacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grêmio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Internacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Grêmio?
Internacional RS has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Internacional RS?
Grêmio has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Grêmio were as follows:
01.03.2026
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
3:0
25.01.2026
Internacional RS
-
Grêmio
4:2
21.09.2025
Internacional RS
-
Grêmio
2:3
19.04.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
1:1
08.03.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
0:2
Latest results of Internacional RS
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Internacional | Gremio | 1 : 1, 0 : 3 |