Result
4:2
25/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (298/349) | 84% (320/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (298/349) | 84% (320/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (80/100) | 64% (45/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -1.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Amuzu F. ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, Marcos Rocha (Own goal),
- 19', Rochet S. 🟨,
- 41', Vitinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Tiago ↓, Dodi ↑,
- 46', Cristaldo F. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 57', Amuzu F. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Edenilson ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 2, Borre R. ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
- 75', Bernabei A. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 2, Borre R. ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
- 81', Alan Patrick ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 81', Paulinho Paula ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
- 82', Tete ↓, Willian ↑,
- 82', Arthur Melo ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 83', 4 - 2, Bernabei A. ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
- 86', Carbonero J. ↓, Allex ↑,
- 88', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
- 90', Ronaldo ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 90', Borre R. ↓, Joao Bezerra ↑,
Chances of winning
Internacional RS
33.9% | Draw
32.4% | Grêmio
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Internacional RS - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.14) |
2.85 ↓
(2.98) |
2.74 ↓
(3.29) |
8.4%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Internacional RS - Grêmio?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Internacional (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Grêmio (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Grêmio (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Internacional (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Internacional RS will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Internacional (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Grêmio (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Internacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Grêmio?
Internacional RS has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Internacional RS?
Grêmio has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Internacional RS - Grêmio were as follows:
21.09.2025
Internacional RS
-
Grêmio
2:3
19.04.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
1:1
08.03.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
0:2
08.02.2025
Grêmio
-
Internacional RS
1:1
19.10.2024
Internacional RS
-
Grêmio
1:0
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 5 | Avenida | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 5 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Ypiranga FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Novo Hamburgo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 6 | Inter Santa Maria | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
