Grêmio vs Novo Hamburgo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.500.27
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
33
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
62
Passes
84% (413/492)77% (241/311)
Yellow cards
56
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.500.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.350.44
Total shots
138
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
137
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1721
Passes
84% (413/492)77% (241/311)
Long passes
46% (22/48)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
74% (110/149)63% (52/83)
Crosses
21% (4/19)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.17
Throw ins
1510
Fouls
2117
Tackles
69% (11/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
1220
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.441.35
Goals prevented
0.440.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Romercio 🟨,
  • 31', Rone 🟨,
  • 39', Joao Marcus 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Roger , Cristaldo F. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Carlos Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', Edenilson 🟨,
  • 59', Carlos Maia , Vinicius Kiss ,
  • 60', Rone , Henrique ,
  • 63', Edenilson , Dodi ,
  • 63', Henrique 🟨,
  • 68', Luam Parede , Matheus Batista ,
  • 70', Willian , Aravena A. ,
  • 71', Marcos Rocha 🟨,
  • 74', Caio Paulista 🟨,
  • 80', Marcos Vinicius , Joao Castro ,
  • 82', Caio Paulista , Marlon ,
  • 82', Marcos Rocha , Jefinho ,
  • 85', Noriega E. 🟨,
  • 85', Vinicius Kiss 🟨,
  • 86', Noriega E. 🟨,
  • 89', Allison 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio
76.5%
Draw
16.1%
Novo Hamburgo
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.5% 16.8% 5.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.18)
    5.79
    (5.45)
    12.59
    (16)
    8.8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Grêmio (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Grêmio is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:11. (average 2.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo were as follows:
    06.02.2024 Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo 2:0
    24.02.2023 Grêmio - Novo Hamburgo 6:1
    Latest results of Grêmio
    04.02.2026 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ 5:3
    31.01.2026 Grêmio - Juventude 1:1
    28.01.2026 Fluminense - Grêmio 2:1
    25.01.2026 Internacional RS - Grêmio 4:2
    21.01.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Grêmio 0:2
    Latest results of Novo Hamburgo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio