Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (210/290) | 85% (412/484) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (210/290) | 85% (412/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 61% (36/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 74% (94/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Gabriel 🟨,
- 58', Nathan ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 59', Alysson ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 67', Jhon Jhon ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 67', Vinicinho ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 68', Sant'Anna A. 🟨,
- 75', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 75', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 77', Monsalve M. 🟨,
- 80', Camilo Reijers ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 80', Olivera C. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 83', Fabinho 🟨,
- 85', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Amuzu F. ⚽, Braithwaite M. (A),
- 89', 1 - 1, Pitta I. ⚽, Eric Ramires (A),
- 90+5', Fernando Seabra 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
37% | Draw
29.9% | Red Bull Bragantino
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.38) |
3.2 ↓
(3.28) |
2.89 ↓
(3) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
- Grêmio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RB Bragantino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Muscle Injury)
Edenilson
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Martins
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fernando
(Tendon Injury)
Guilherme
(Inactive)
Lucao
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Aravena A.
(Inactive)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Nathan Mendes
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Grêmio?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
15.09.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:2
01.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:2
14.09.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:0
07.05.2023
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:3
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
