Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (457/517) | 80% (309/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (457/517) | 80% (309/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (32/49) | 28% (18/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (192/234) | 53% (33/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (14/36) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
- 22', Dodi 🟨,
- 43', Walter Kannemann 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nathan Mendes ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 46', Laquintana I. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 46', Edenilson ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 59', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 59', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Juninho Capixaba ↑,
- 59', Andre Henrique ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
- 70', Arthur Melo ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
- 70', Aravena A. ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
- 81', Fabinho ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 85', Pavon C. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 90+2', Alex Santana 🟨,
- 90+12', Marlon 🟨,
- 90+16', 1 - 0, Jhon Jhon (Pen),
- 90+17', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
48.1% | Draw
28.1% | Grêmio
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino's performance.Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.25) |
3.37 ↑
(3.2) |
3.94 ↑
(3.3) |
5.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.
- RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Gabriel
(Yellow Cards)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Alysson
(Yellow Cards)
Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Vinicius
(Injury)
Cuellar G.
(Inactive)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Olivera C.
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Tiago Volpi
(Inactive)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Willian
(Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha
(Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Marcos Rocha
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Grêmio?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio were as follows:
10.05.2025
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
15.09.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:2
01.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:2
14.09.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:0
07.05.2023
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:3
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
