Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
72% (210/290) | 85% (412/484) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.71 | 1.14 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
72% (210/290) | 85% (412/484) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (24/52) | 61% (36/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (30/54) | 74% (94/127) |
Crosses |
---|
8% (1/13) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.37 | 1.04 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (15/21) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.14 | 0.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.14 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Gabriel 🟨,
- 58', Nathan ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 59', Alysson ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 67', Jhon Jhon ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 67', Vinicinho ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 68', Sant'Anna A. 🟨,
- 75', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 75', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 77', Monsalve M. 🟨,
- 80', Camilo Reijers ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 80', Olivera C. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 83', Fabinho 🟨,
- 85', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Amuzu F. ⚽, Braithwaite M. (A),
- 89', 1 - 1, Pitta I. ⚽, Eric Ramires (A),
- 90+5', Fernando Seabra 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio 37% | Draw 29.9% | Red Bull Bragantino 33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↑ (2.38) |
3.2 ↓ (3.28) |
2.89 ↓ (3) |
5% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 1.
- Grêmio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RB Bragantino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Amuzu F.
(Muscle Injury)
Edenilson
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Martins
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fernando
(Tendon Injury)
Guilherme
(Inactive)
Lucao
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Aravena A.
(Inactive)
Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Nathan Mendes
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Grêmio?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
15.09.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:2
01.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:2
14.09.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio
2:0
07.05.2023
Grêmio
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:3
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet