Red Bull Bragantino vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista).

Serie A Betano - Round 27
Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.05	0.24
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
28	5
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
88% (457/517)	80% (309/386)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.75	0.05
Total shots
28	5
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
12	3
Blocked Shots
9	1
Shots inside the Box
19	3
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
41	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
7	18
Passes
88% (457/517)	80% (309/386)
Long passes
65% (32/49)	28% (18/65)
Passes in final third
82% (192/234)	53% (33/62)
Crosses
39% (14/36)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.16	0.23
Throw-ins
14	14
Fouls
18	7
Tackles
69% (9/13)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
42	38
Clearances
11	40
Interceptions
3	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
0.05	1.75
Goals prevented
0.05	0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
22', Dodi 🟨,
43', Walter Kannemann 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nathan Mendes ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
46', Laquintana I. ↓, Fernando ↑,
46', Edenilson ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
59', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
59', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Juninho Capixaba ↑,
59', Andre Henrique ↓, Wagner Leonardo ↑,
70', Arthur Melo ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
70', Aravena A. ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
81', Fabinho ↓, Praxedes ↑,
85', Pavon C. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
90+2', Alex Santana 🟨,
90+12', Marlon 🟨,
90+16', 1 - 0, Jhon Jhon (Pen),
90+17', Jhon Jhon 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Red Bull Bragantino
48.1%

Draw
28.1%

Grêmio
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

31.5%

26.8%

Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	3.94 ↑ (3.3)	5.4% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 31.2% – 83%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.
RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Grêmio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
RB Bragantino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes (Knee Injury) Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Gabriel (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Grêmio: Alysson (Yellow Cards) Braithwaite M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Vinicius (Injury) Cuellar G. (Inactive) Fabian Balbuena (Ankle Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Monsalve M. (Shoulder Injury) Olivera C. (Inactive) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury) Tiago Volpi (Inactive) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury) Willian (Injury)
There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha (Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Knock)
There are questionable in Grêmio: Marcos Rocha (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Grêmio?

Red Bull Bragantino has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Red Bull Bragantino?

Grêmio has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio were as follows:

10.05.2025 Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1

15.09.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio 2:2

01.06.2024 Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino 0:2

14.09.2023 Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio 2:0

07.05.2023 Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino 3:3

Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino

01.10.2025 Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Santos 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino 2:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio

01.10.2025 Santos - Grêmio 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Grêmio - Vitória Salvador 3:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ 1:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Internacional RS - Grêmio 2:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Grêmio - Mirassol 0:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet