Greuther Fürth vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Football German 2 Bundesliga Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV
Result
3:2
18/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 6
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 8
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.85
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
73% (215/293)87% (403/462)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.872.72
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
73% (215/293)87% (403/462)
Long passes
32% (15/47)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
53% (40/75)74% (70/95)
Crosses
29% (2/7)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.96
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
1313
Tackles
75% (12/16)25% (1/4)
Duels won
3929
Clearances
1311
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.721.87
Goals prevented
1.51-1.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', John M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Klaus F. ⚽, Quarshie J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Klaus F. (Pen),
  • 60', Consbruch J. ↓, Green J. ↑,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Klaus F. ⚽, Itter G. (A),
  • 67', 3 - 2, Glatzel R. (Pen),
  • 70', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
  • 70', Karabec A. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
  • 70', Balde F. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
  • 76', John M. ↓, Giesselmann N. ↑,
  • 76', Futkeu N. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
  • 82', Meffert J. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
  • 83', Asta S. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
  • 87', Klaus F. 🟨,
  • 90', Selke D. 🟨,
  • 90', Jung G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Giesselmann N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Greuther Fürth
37.4%		Draw
23.4%		Hamburger SV
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 21.6% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 22% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
    •

    Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.54 ↓
    (2.72)    		 4.05 ↓
    (4.38)    		 2.4 ↑
    (2.16)    		 5.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Hamburg will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 48.9% – 92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hamburger SV will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Hamburg is Qualified for Bundesliga
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1.
    • Fürth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hamburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Hadzikadunic D. (Injury) Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Mickel T. (Injury) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth 5:0
    31.03.2024 Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV 1:1
    21.10.2023 Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth 2:0
    20.05.2023 Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth 2:1
    09.11.2022 Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV 1:0
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    11.05.2025 Hannover - Greuther Fürth 1:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth 1:0 ✺
    25.04.2025 Greuther Fürth - Ulm 1846 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth 1:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 Greuther Fürth - Köln 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    10.05.2025 Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846 6:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Darmstadt - Hamburger SV 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Karlsruher 1:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Hamburger SV 2:2 ✺
    11.04.2025 Hamburger SV - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:4 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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