Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.30
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
87% (418/481)78% (234/300)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.011.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.77
Total shots
139
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
87% (418/481)78% (234/300)
Long passes
56% (23/41)26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
70% (76/108)51% (24/47)
Crosses
13% (3/24)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.28
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
1217
Tackles
78% (7/9)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5449
Clearances
929
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.770.42
Goals prevented
-0.23-1.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Futkeu N. 🟨,
  • 11', Janisch T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Lochoshvili L. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 54', 1 - 1, Klaus F. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Zoma M. A. , Markhiev A. (A),
  • 60', Janisch T. , Drexler T. ,
  • 61', 2 - 2, Keller A. , Futkeu N. (A),
  • 63', Dehm J. 🟨,
  • 76', Futkeu N. , Srbeny D. ,
  • 85', Grimaldi A. , Scobel P. ,
  • 85', Justvan J. , Maboulou N. ,
  • 85', Hrgota B. , Sillah O. ,
  • 88', Becker F. O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Keller A. , Consbruch J. ,
  • 90+5', Schlieck T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
54.8%
Draw
23.9%
Greuther Fürth
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 23.7% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 23.1% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.78)
    3.94
    (3.95)
    4.46
    (4)
    5.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Fürth will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Nürnberg (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2.
    • Nürnberg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fürth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fürth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nürnberg is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Lubach R. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Danilo Soares (Surgery) Markhiev A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth 3:0
    20.10.2024 Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg 0:4
    25.02.2024 Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg 2:1
    15.09.2023 Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth 1:1
    04.02.2023 Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg 1:0
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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