Grigor Dimitrov vs Brandon Nakashima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
125
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
70%68%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (33/40)85% (33/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (11/17)39% (7/18)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
15% (6/39)23% (9/40)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (11/18)35% (6/17)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/0)
Winners
2514
Unforced Errors
1710
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
77% (44/57)74% (40/54)
Return Points Won
26% (14/54)23% (13/57)
Total Points Won
52% (58/111)48% (53/111)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Grigor Dimitrov
61.5%
Brandon Nakashima
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.54)

    2.46
    (2.5)
    5.2%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 15. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.
    • Dimitrov is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Nakashima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Dimitrov will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima were as follows:
    01.09.2022 Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima 0:3
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    2026

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.
    14Watanuki Y.Maestrelli F. (17)
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24