Result
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 9
Chances of winning
Grosseto 53.8% | Draw 27.6% | Poggibonsi 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Grosseto - Poggibonsi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↑ (1.62) |
3.3 ↓ (3.4) |
4.91 ↓ (4.95) |
9.8% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Grosseto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Poggibonsi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Grosseto is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Grosseto won against Poggibonsi?
Grosseto has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Poggibonsi won against Grosseto?
Poggibonsi has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grosseto - Poggibonsi were as follows:
19.01.2025
Poggibonsi
-
Grosseto
0:1
22.09.2024
Grosseto
-
Poggibonsi
1:2
10.03.2024
Poggibonsi
-
Grosseto
1:2
01.11.2023
Grosseto
-
Poggibonsi
1:0
08.01.2023
Grosseto
-
Poggibonsi
1:2
Latest results of Grosseto
Latest results of Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Siena | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Grosseto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Foligno | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Seravezza Pozzi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | San Donato | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Ghiviborgo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Tau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Prato | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Orvietana | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Trestina | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Scandicci | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Camaiore | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 16 | Vivi Altotevere | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cannara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation