Grosseto vs Poggibonsi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group E Grosseto - Poggibonsi
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 9

Chances of winning


Grosseto
53.8%
Draw
27.6%
Poggibonsi
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.9% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Grosseto - Poggibonsi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.62)
    3.3
    (3.4)
    4.91
    (4.95)
    9.8%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Grosseto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Poggibonsi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Grosseto is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grosseto - Poggibonsi were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Poggibonsi - Grosseto 0:1
    22.09.2024 Grosseto - Poggibonsi 1:2
    10.03.2024 Poggibonsi - Grosseto 1:2
    01.11.2023 Grosseto - Poggibonsi 1:0
    08.01.2023 Grosseto - Poggibonsi 1:2
    Latest results of Grosseto
    19.10.2025 Orvietana - Grosseto 0:1
    12.10.2025 Grosseto - Tau Altopascio 3:0
    08.10.2025 Grosseto - UniPomezia 0:1
    04.10.2025 Trestina - Grosseto 0:1
    28.09.2025 Grosseto - Camaiore 1:1
    Latest results of Poggibonsi
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Siena861111:2919
    2Grosseto861114:6819
    3Foligno851215:9616
    4Seravezza Pozzi851210:8216
    5San Donato843110:8215
    6Ghiviborgo842213:7614
    7Tau842211:9214
    8Prato840412:10212
    9Terranuova Traiana83146:9-310
    10Orvietana830510:1009
    11Montevarchi823311:17-69
    12Trestina82248:718
    13Scandicci82245:8-38
    14Follonica Gavorrano82246:10-48
    15Camaiore822410:16-68
    16Vivi Altotevere81435:8-37
    17Cannara81345:9-46
    18Poggibonsi80266:15-92

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation