Result
4:2
02/05/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 5
- Referee: Rodriguez D. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Entel Gol 56 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (285/346) | 84% (260/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.59 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (285/346) | 84% (260/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/118) | 73% (57/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 3.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Pablo Melgar ⚽, Peredo G. (A),
- 14', Rangel M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Lopez P. 🟥,
- 28', Ramos J. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
- 41', Gil S. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Ferrufino R. ↓, Garzon S. ↑,
- 46', Rangel M. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Ortiz M. ⚽, Viviani L. (A),
- 48', Barro J. 🟨,
- 56', Barro J. 🟨,
- 57', Rafinha 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Viviani L. ⚽, Barboza L. (A),
- 62', Rafinha ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Viviani L. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
- 71', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
- 71', Pablo Melgar ↓, Nacif M. ↑,
- 72', Sanchez H. 🟨,
- 77', 3 - 2, Maciel M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Barboza L. ↓, Troncoso Caiti E. ↑,
- 81', Nacif M. 🟨,
- 81', Ramallo R. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Amarilla A. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
- 90+5', Moreno A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aurora
60.2% | Draw
21.2% | Guabirá
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Aurora - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.47) |
4.34 ↑
(4.28) |
4.94 ↓
(5.24) |
9.1%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Aurora - Guabirá?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
- Aurora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Guabirá?
Aurora has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Aurora?
Guabirá has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Guabirá were as follows:
28.10.2025
Aurora
-
Guabirá
4:0
11.10.2025
Guabirá
-
Aurora
2:1
10.08.2025
Aurora
-
Guabirá
0:2
04.04.2025
Guabirá
-
Aurora
5:2
29.09.2024
Aurora
-
Guabirá
2:1
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 4 | Aurora | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Independiente | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Blooming | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | SA Bulo Bulo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Academia del Balompie | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Potosi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:14 | -12 | 2 |
| 16 | Guabira | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:16 | -11 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
