Result
1:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 13
- Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/465) | 79% (288/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (394/465) | 79% (288/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (92/139) | 61% (63/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Melgar S. (A),
- 36', Soto R. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Machado C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Olguin G. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
- 60', Anez C. 🟨,
- 62', Andersen L. ↓, Barron A. ↑,
- 64', Machado C. 🟨,
- 68', Montano J. ↓, Guillermo A. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez L. ↓, Ancieta C. ↑,
- 69', Melgar S. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 72', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Rafinha ↑,
Chances of winning
Jorge Wilstermann
50.3% | Draw
24.9% | Guabirá
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.7) |
3.65 ↓
(4) |
3.68 ↓
(4.2) |
8.7%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jorge Wilstermann will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
- Wilstermann is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Wilstermann could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Guabirá?
Jorge Wilstermann has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Jorge Wilstermann?
Guabirá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá were as follows:
11.12.2024
Guabirá
-
Jorge Wilstermann
3:1
18.08.2024
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Guabirá
3:0
19.11.2023
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Guabirá
1:0
21.05.2023
Guabirá
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:1
30.09.2022
Guabirá
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:1
Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
| 4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
| 16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
