Result
1:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 13
- Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.73 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (394/465) | 79% (288/366) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.73 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.42 | 1.23 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
85% (394/465) | 79% (288/366) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (55/91) | 36% (21/59) |
Passes in final third |
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66% (92/139) | 61% (63/104) |
Crosses |
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25% (8/32) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.82 | 1.35 |
Throw-ins |
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15 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.23 | 0.42 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.23 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Melgar S. (A),
- 36', Soto R. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 1, Caceres A. ⚽, Machado C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Olguin G. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
- 60', Anez C. 🟨,
- 62', Andersen L. ↓, Barron A. ↑,
- 64', Machado C. 🟨,
- 68', Montano J. ↓, Guillermo A. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez L. ↓, Ancieta C. ↑,
- 69', Melgar S. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 72', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Rafinha ↑,
Chances of winning
Jorge Wilstermann 50.3% | Draw 24.9% | Guabirá 24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↑ (1.7) |
3.65 ↓ (4) |
3.68 ↓ (4.2) |
8.7% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jorge Wilstermann will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
- Wilstermann is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Wilstermann could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jorge Wilstermann won against Guabirá?
Jorge Wilstermann has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Jorge Wilstermann?
Guabirá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá were as follows:
11.12.2024
Guabirá
-
Jorge Wilstermann
3:1
18.08.2024
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Guabirá
3:0
19.11.2023
Jorge Wilstermann
-
Guabirá
1:0
21.05.2023
Guabirá
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:1
30.09.2022
Guabirá
-
Jorge Wilstermann
1:1
Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 49:20 | 29 | 34 |
2 | The Strongest | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 44:27 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Blooming | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31:21 | 10 | 28 |
4 | Bolivar | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 27 |
5 | GV San Jose | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Academia del Balompie | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Nacional Potosi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Universitario de Vinto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Guabira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Oriente Petrolero | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Independiente | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:32 | -12 | 15 |
13 | Real Oruro | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 14 |
14 | Tomayapo | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
16 | Aurora | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation