Jorge Wilstermann vs Guabirá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá
Result
1:1
07/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 13
  • Referee: Condori C. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.73
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
85% (394/465)79% (288/366)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.421.23
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
85% (394/465)79% (288/366)
Long passes
60% (55/91)36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
66% (92/139)61% (63/104)
Crosses
25% (8/32)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.35
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1114
Tackles
58% (7/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.230.42
Goals prevented
0.23-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Peredo G. , Melgar S. (A),
  • 36', Soto R. , Montano J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Caceres A. , Machado C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Olguin G. , Robles D. ,
  • 60', Anez C. 🟨,
  • 62', Andersen L. , Barron A. ,
  • 64', Machado C. 🟨,
  • 68', Montano J. , Guillermo A. ,
  • 68', Rodriguez L. , Ancieta C. ,
  • 69', Melgar S. , Villarroel M. ,
  • 72', Thiago Ribeiro , Rafinha ,

Chances of winning


Jorge Wilstermann
50.3%
Draw
24.9%
Guabirá
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 23.2% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 22.8% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.7)
    3.65
    (4)
    3.68
    (4.2)
    8.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wilstermann (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Jorge Wilstermann will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Division Profesional (Relegation) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 2.
    • Wilstermann is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Wilstermann could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá were as follows:
    11.12.2024 Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann 3:1
    18.08.2024 Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá 3:0
    19.11.2023 Jorge Wilstermann - Guabirá 1:0
    21.05.2023 Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann 1:1
    30.09.2022 Guabirá - Jorge Wilstermann 1:1
    Latest results of Jorge Wilstermann
    Latest results of Guabirá
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready15104149:202934
    2The Strongest15111344:271734
    3Blooming1484231:211028
    4Bolivar1483334:161827
    5GV San Jose1572623:26-323
    6SA Bulo Bulo1446423:25-218
    7Academia del Balompie1546518:24-618
    8Nacional Potosi1445520:17317
    9Universitario de Vinto1445520:22-217
    10Guabira1544726:32-616
    11Oriente Petrolero1544722:33-1116
    12Independiente1536620:32-1215
    13Real Oruro1535720:26-614
    14Tomayapo1528515:24-914
    15Wilstermann15131111:33-226
    16Aurora1454526:242-14

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation