Result
0:1
07/12/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 26
- Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
9 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Morales R. 🟨,
- 16', Melean A. 🟨,
- 39', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 40', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 44', Ibanez J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ruano L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Mendoza G. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 64', Peredo G. 🟨,
- 66', Pedro ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
- 68', Moreno B. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
- 74', Morales R. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
- 75', Navarro S. ↓, Ribera O. ↑,
- 75', Caicedo J. ↓, Malgor G. ↑,
- 81', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 1, Herrera J. (Pen),
- 88', Vasquez R. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Santa Cruz 23.8% | Draw 23.7% | Guabirá 52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Santa Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guabirá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.86 ↑ (2.55) |
3.94 ↑ (3.48) |
1.8 ↓ (2.47) |
6.8% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá?
Users Predictions:
Guabirá will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 3.
- Real Santa Cruz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Guabirá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Guabirá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Real Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Santa Cruz won against Guabirá?
Real Santa Cruz has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Real Santa Cruz?
Guabirá has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá were as follows:
13.08.2024
Guabirá
-
Real Santa Cruz
0:1
08.03.2024
Real Santa Cruz
-
Guabirá
1:1
24.02.2024
Guabirá
-
Real Santa Cruz
1:2
10.08.2023
Real Santa Cruz
-
Guabirá
1:3
30.07.2023
Guabirá
-
Real Santa Cruz
1:2
Latest results of Real Santa Cruz
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Always Ready | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 43 |
2 | The Strongest | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 52:32 | 20 | 43 |
3 | Bolivar | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 47:21 | 26 | 37 |
4 | Blooming | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 34 |
5 | SA Bulo Bulo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 27 |
6 | GV San Jose | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 26 |
7 | Guabira | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Independiente | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:38 | -8 | 24 |
9 | Universitario de Vinto | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24:32 | -8 | 23 |
10 | Oriente Petrolero | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Nacional Potosi | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 20 |
12 | Real Oruro | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:35 | -7 | 20 |
13 | Tomayapo | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 19:32 | -13 | 20 |
14 | Academia del Balompie | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 19 |
15 | Wilstermann | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 8 |
16 | Aurora | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation