Result
0:1
07/12/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 26
- Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Morales R. 🟨,
- 16', Melean A. 🟨,
- 39', Quintana A. 🟨,
- 40', Caicedo J. 🟨,
- 44', Ibanez J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ruano L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Mendoza G. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 64', Peredo G. 🟨,
- 66', Pedro ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
- 68', Moreno B. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
- 74', Morales R. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
- 75', Navarro S. ↓, Ribera O. ↑,
- 75', Caicedo J. ↓, Malgor G. ↑,
- 81', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 1, Herrera J. (Pen),
- 88', Vasquez R. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Santa Cruz
23.8% | Draw
23.7% | Guabirá
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Santa Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guabirá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.86 ↑
(2.55) |
3.94 ↑
(3.48) |
1.8 ↓
(2.47) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá?
Users Predictions:
Guabirá will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 3.
- Real Santa Cruz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Guabirá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Guabirá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Real Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Real Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Santa Cruz won against Guabirá?
Real Santa Cruz has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Real Santa Cruz?
Guabirá has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Santa Cruz - Guabirá were as follows:
13.08.2024
Guabirá
-
Real Santa Cruz
0:1
08.03.2024
Real Santa Cruz
-
Guabirá
1:1
24.02.2024
Guabirá
-
Real Santa Cruz
1:2
10.08.2023
Real Santa Cruz
-
Guabirá
1:3
30.07.2023
Guabirá
-
Real Santa Cruz
1:2
Latest results of Real Santa Cruz
Latest results of Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 49:20 | 29 | 34 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 44:27 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Blooming | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31:21 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Academia del Balompie | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Universitario de Vinto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Guabira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Independiente | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:32 | -12 | 15 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomayapo | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
