River Plate Asunción vs Guaireña – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Intermedia - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports

Match Stats

Red Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Riquelme W. ,
  • 10', 0 - 2, Riquelme W. ,
  • 17', 1 - 2, Britez E. (Own goal),
  • 25', 2 - 2, Ortiz E. ,
  • 27', Silva J. 🟥,
  • 31', 2 - 3, Riquelme W. ,
  • 42', Riquelme W. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 84', 2 - 4, Balbuena J. ,
  • 90+3', Gonzalez M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


River Plate Asunción
37%
Draw
27.6%
Guaireña
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 26.3% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 25.5% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Asunción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Asunción's form might have worsened.
  • Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaireña's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Asunción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaireña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • River Plate Asunción - Guaireña Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (1.72)
    3.95
    (3.46)
    3.08
    (4.38)
    -8.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, River Plate is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Asunción - Guaireña were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Guaireña - River Plate Asunción 0:1
    Latest results of Guaireña
    23.09.2025 Guaireña - Rubio Ñu 0:0
    14.09.2025 Pastoreo - Guaireña 1:0
    29.08.2025 Tacuary - Guaireña 0:1
    24.08.2025 Guaireña - Resistencia 1:2
    Paraguayan Division Intermedia Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tembetary22006:336
    2General Caballero JLM21106:244
    3Benjamin Aceval21104:044
    4Dep. Capiata21105:324
    512 de Junio21103:124
    6Independiente FBC21103:214
    7Paraguari AC21014:313
    8Encarnacion FC21013:303
    9Deportivo Santani21013:4-13
    10Resistencia21012:3-13
    11Sp. Carapegua21014:7-33
    123 de Noviembre20112:3-11
    13Sol de America20111:2-11
    14Tacuary20111:2-11
    15Fernando de la Mora20020:4-40
    16Guairena20022:7-50

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