El Nacional vs Gualaceo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro El Nacional - Gualaceo
Result
4:2
12/11/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 28

Chances of winning


El Nacional
62.1%
Draw
21.4%
Gualaceo
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 19.6% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 18.8% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • El Nacional - Gualaceo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.42)
    4.36
    (4.73)
    5.61
    (6.2)
    7.7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for El Nacional - Gualaceo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16).
    • Recent matches El Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gualaceo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gualaceo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match El Nacional is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Gualaceo were as follows:
    04.06.2023 Gualaceo - El Nacional 3:4
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Latest results of Gualaceo
    04.11.2023 Gualaceo - Delfín 2:2
    27.10.2023 Libertad Loja - Gualaceo 3:0
    22.10.2023 Gualaceo - SD Aucas 1:2
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

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