Result
4:2
12/11/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 28
Chances of winning
El Nacional
62.1% | Draw
21.4% | Gualaceo
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
El Nacional - Gualaceo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.42) |
4.36 ↓
(4.73) |
5.61 ↓
(6.2) |
7.7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Gualaceo?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16).
- Recent matches El Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gualaceo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Gualaceo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match El Nacional is indisputable favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches El Nacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams El Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Gualaceo?
El Nacional has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against El Nacional?
Gualaceo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Gualaceo were as follows:
04.06.2023
Gualaceo
-
El Nacional
3:4
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Gualaceo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 39 |
| 7 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
