Result
2:0
02/05/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', 🟥,
- 79', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Gualaceo
65.1% | Draw
21% | El Nacional
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Gualaceo - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.54) |
4.39 ↑
(4) |
6.63 ↑
(5.71) |
8.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gualaceo - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
Gualaceo will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 1.
- Gualaceo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- El Nacional's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gualaceo is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gualaceo won against El Nacional?
Gualaceo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Gualaceo?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gualaceo - El Nacional were as follows:
12.11.2023
El Nacional
-
Gualaceo
4:2
04.06.2023
Gualaceo
-
El Nacional
3:4
Latest results of Gualaceo
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Nueve de Octubre | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cuenca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Vinotinto | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | LDU Portoviejo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Gualaceo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Dep. Santo Domingo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Cumbaya | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | EL Nacional | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )
Serie B (Relegation Group: )
