Result
1:1
13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Camacho P. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Costa-rica | FUTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Mora J. ⚽,
- 21', Martinez C. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Moya J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Matarrita S. 🟨,
- 58', Matarrita S. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
- 58', Borges C. 🟨,
- 62', Anderson Canhoto ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 62', Martinez C. ↓, Pinar F. ↑,
- 70', Lucumi J. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
- 74', Porras J. A. ↓, Matarrita J. ↑,
- 74', Ugalde J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
- 85', Matarrita R. ↓, Oviedo B. ↑,
- 85', Angulo L. ↓, Villalobos Alfaro G. ↑,
- 86', Gamboa A. 🟥,
- 90', Ortega Olivera W. J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hernandez J. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
- 90+2', Mora J. ↓, Mauricio G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guanacasteca
13.7% | Draw
24% | Alajuelense
62.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guanacasteca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Guanacasteca - Alajuelense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.63 ↑
(5.21) |
3.88 ↑
(3.6) |
1.5 ↓
(1.64) |
7.5%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guanacasteca - Alajuelense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alajuelense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alajuelense will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 2.
- Guanacasteca is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Alajuelense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Guanacasteca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alajuelense is a favorite.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:41 (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guanacasteca won against Alajuelense?
Guanacasteca has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alajuelense won against Guanacasteca?
Alajuelense has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guanacasteca - Alajuelense were as follows:
15.02.2025
Alajuelense
-
Guanacasteca
1:0
30.11.2024
Guanacasteca
-
Alajuelense
1:0
07.09.2024
Alajuelense
-
Guanacasteca
4:0
12.05.2024
Alajuelense
-
Guanacasteca
5:0
10.03.2024
Guanacasteca
-
Alajuelense
3:0
Latest results of Guanacasteca
Latest results of Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Saprissa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Alajuelense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Liberia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Puntarenas FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Cartagines | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | San Carlos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Herediano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Zeledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Guadalupe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sporting San Jose | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
