Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (350/413) | 79% (282/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.61 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.39 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (350/413) | 79% (282/357) |
| Long passes |
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| 43% (16/37) | 43% (29/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (124/159) | 52% (44/85) |
| Crosses |
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| 12% (4/33) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
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| 38 | 40 |
| Clearances |
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| 8 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Xia Dalong ⚽, Farley Rosa (A),
- 20', Duan Yunzi 🟨,
- 45+2', Wang Chien-Ming 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Liu Mingshi ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
- 67', Duan Yunzi ↓, Cai Haochang ↑,
- 67', Farley Rosa ↓, Ma Junliang ↑,
- 75', Zhang Yingkai ↓, Huang X. ↑,
- 80', Xiang Yuwang (Pen),
- 83', Nikao 🟨,
- 83', Xia Dalong ↓, Tu Dongxu ↑,
- 83', Nikao ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
- 89', Ruan Qilong ↓, Ma Yujun ↑,
- 90+2', Hou Yu ↓, Zeng Chao ↑,
Chances of winning
Chongqing Tongliang Long
43.9% | Draw
27.8% | Guangdong GZ-Power
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chongqing Tongliang Long's form might have worsened.Guangdong GZ-Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong GZ-Power's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong GZ-Power, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.66) |
3.6 ↓
(3.74) |
3.54 ↓
(4.64) |
-0.1%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 3).
- Chongqing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Guangdong GZ-Power is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guangdong GZ-Power may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chongqing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Chongqing Tongliang Long won against Guangdong GZ-Power?
Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong GZ-Power won against Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Guangdong GZ-Power has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangdong GZ-Power were as follows:
10.05.2025
Guangdong GZ-Power
-
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1:5
Latest results of Chongqing Tongliang Long
Latest results of Guangdong GZ-Power
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Dalian K'un City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 36 |
| 8 | Dingnan Ganlian | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 11 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32:51 | -19 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 22 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
