Guangxi Lanhang vs Guangdong Mingtu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dongxing Sports Center (Dongxing).

Yi League - Round 22

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	2.10
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
77% (264/341)	79% (250/317)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	2.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	1.46
Total shots
7	17
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
1	8
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
3	12
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
21	24
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	8
Free Kicks
15	6
Passes
77% (264/341)	79% (250/317)
Long passes
50% (27/54)	41% (17/41)
Passes in final third
62% (62/100)	64% (64/100)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.50	0.51
Throw-ins
30	29
Fouls
6	15
Tackles
80% (8/10)	70% (16/23)
Duels won
38	37
Clearances
21	22
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.46	0.74
Goals prevented
-0.54	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, He J. ⚽,
40', He J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Luo H. ↓, Wei Feng ↑,
46', Zhong W. ↓, Zhao C. ↑,
46', Peng Jiahao ↓, Tang Wenxuan ↑,
53', Yao H. ↓, Wu Z. ↑,
54', Shi C. 🟨,
58', Shi C. ↓, Zhao Hanyu ↑,
59', An Yongjian ↓, Wang S. ↑,
59', Zhong W. ↓, Zhu X. ↑,
63', Peng Jiahao ↓, Li T. ↑,
65', Zong Keyi ↓, Cai W. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Wei Feng ⚽, Zheng Y. (A),
81', Zheng Y. ↓, Liang Dongyi ↑,
81', Liu Ziheng ↓, Chen Rijin ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Zhao C. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Guangxi Lanhang
19%

Draw
25.4%

Guangdong Mingtu
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Lanhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangxi Lanhang's form might have worsened.

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Mingtu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Lanhang than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Lanhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangxi Lanhang - Guangdong Mingtu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.1)	3.64 ↑ (3.04)	1.66 ↓ (2.25)	8% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Guangxi Lanhang - Guangdong Mingtu?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Guangdong Mingtu will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangxi Lanhang is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Guangdong Mingtu has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Guangdong Mingtu is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi Lanhang won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Lanhang won against Guangdong Mingtu?

Guangxi Lanhang has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Guangxi Lanhang?

Guangdong Mingtu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Lanhang - Guangdong Mingtu were as follows:

25.05.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Lanhang 1:1

Latest results of Guangxi Lanhang

27.07.2025 Quanzhou Yassin - Guangxi Lanhang 1:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Guangxi Lanhang - Shenzhen 0:2 ✺

13.07.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng B - Guangxi Lanhang 5:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Wuhan Three Towns B - Guangxi Lanhang 2:1 ✺

01.07.2025 Guangxi Lanhang - Guangxi Hengchen 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu

27.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Kunming City 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong Mingtu 2:2 ✺

12.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Wenzhou Professional 1:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guangdong Mingtu 1:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns B 2:3 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

Main

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	22	13	6	3	31:14	17	45
2	Shandong Taishan B	22	10	9	3	36:22	14	39
3	Nantong Haimen	22	10	8	4	38:24	14	38
4	Changchun Xidu	22	10	8	4	19:11	8	38
5	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:22	3	35
6	Hangzhou Linping	22	8	8	6	24:26	-2	32
7	Taian Tiankuang	22	7	5	10	22:25	-3	26
8	Shanghai Port B	22	6	7	9	25:26	-1	25
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	5	8	9	17:32	-15	23
10	Lanzhou Longyuan	22	5	7	10	21:32	-11	22
11	Beijing Technology	22	5	2	15	21:29	-8	17
12	Hubei Istar	22	3	7	12	23:39	-16	16

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	22	18	3	1	47:9	38	57
2	Shenzhen	22	14	6	2	30:13	17	48
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	22	12	4	6	39:20	19	40
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	22	12	3	7	33:25	8	39
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	11	5	6	31:18	13	38
6	Wuhan Three Towns B	22	8	5	9	21:20	1	29
7	Wenzhou Professional	22	6	8	8	21:27	-6	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	4	11	7	18:28	-10	23
9	Guangdong Mingtu	22	4	8	10	20:32	-12	20
10	Kunming City Star	22	4	7	11	15:31	-16	19
11	Quanzhou Yassin	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15
12	Guangxi Lanhang	22	0	6	16	10:45	-35	6

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