Beijing Ducks vs Guangdong Southern Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
105:74
01/01/2026 at 06:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7263
Field Goals Made
3928
Field Goals %
54.17%44.44%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3539
2-Point Field Goals Made
2119
2-Point Field Goals %
60%48.72%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3724
3-Point Field Goals Made
189
3-Point Field Goals %
48.65%37.5%
Free Throws Attempted
1415
Free Throws Made
99
Free Throws %
64.3%60%
Offensive Rebounds
1311
Defensive Rebounds
2523
Total Rebounds
3834
Assists
2912
Blocks
41
Turnovers
1317
Steals
117
Personal Fouls
2016

Chances of winning


Beijing Ducks
69.8%
Guangdong Southern Tigers
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Ducks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beijing Ducks's performance.
  • Guangdong Southern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangdong Southern Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Ducks than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing Ducks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangdong Southern Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.55)

    3.09
    (2.24)
    6.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 180.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Beijing will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Guangdong will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Beijing (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Beijing (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Beijing (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Beijing (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5 - Guangdong (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Guangdong (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Guangdong (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 1.
    • Beijing is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Guangdong is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Beijing could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1835:1989. (average 91.8:99.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 829:899. (average 92.1:99.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers were as follows:
    12.12.2024 Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks 106:90
    25.10.2024 Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers 105:101
    27.03.2024 Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers 92:110
    19.01.2024 Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks 104:87
    13.12.2023 Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks 106:95
    Latest results of Beijing Ducks
    CBA Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Shanghai272342616:21920.852
    2Zhejiang Guangsha272252438:21210.815
    3Guangdong271982551:24440.704
    4Beijing261792328:21260.654
    5Shandong2717102516:24010.630
    6Qingdao2716112316:21890.593
    7Shenzhen2716112585:25440.593
    8Zhejiang Chouzhou2715122334:22240.556
    9Liaoning2715122275:22290.556
    10Shanxi Zhongyu2714132434:23660.519
    11Ningbo Rockets2613132242:22150.500
    12Beijing Royal Fighters2712152381:25230.444
    13Xinjiang2711162320:22650.407
    14Jilin2711162244:23780.407
    15Guangzhou2711162339:24000.407
    16Fujian2610162328:24190.385
    17Nanjing Tongxi2710172439:25780.370
    18Tianjin279182478:25520.333
    19Jiangsu Dragons277202189:24530.259
    20Sichuan260261834:25680.000

          Promotion ~ CBA (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ CBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)