Result
0:3
19/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (253/374) | 81% (422/520) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (253/374) | 81% (422/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (38/85) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 77% (137/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.62 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Chen G. ⚽, Ning W. (A),
- 31', Qin Wanzhun 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Ji X. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
- 59', Ren K. ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
- 66', Musajan Musajan ↓, He Youzu ↑,
- 66', Zhao Ran ↓, Li Xin ↑,
- 81', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
- 81', Ning W. ↓, Wang H. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Ji Tianle ⚽, Wang H. (A),
- 90+1', Wang Junhao ↓, Suo Mingwei ↑,
- 90+1', Sun Fei ↓, Alim Enser ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 3, Fei Ernanduo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Changchun Xidu
8.3% | Draw
17.2% | Guangxi Hengchen
74.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-20.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Changchun Xidu - Guangxi Hengchen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.82 ↑
(4.57) |
5.7 ↑
(3.41) |
1.32 ↓
(1.69) |
1.9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
- Changchun Xidu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guangxi Hengchen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Xidu won against Guangxi Hengchen?
Changchun Xidu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Changchun Xidu?
Guangxi Hengchen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:
14.09.2025
Guangxi Hengchen
-
Changchun Xidu
4:1
Latest results of Changchun Xidu
Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62:17 | 45 | 73 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 42:18 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 |
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:34 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 48 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 41 |
Promotion ~ League One
