Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (443/523) | 73% (202/276) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.33 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (443/523) | 73% (202/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (109/160) | 46% (22/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 4.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ren K. (A),
- 32', Ji X. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 56', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Wang Haozhi ⚽,
- 66', 3 - 0, Ren K. ⚽,
- 67', Murat Bebet ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
- 67', Zhao Ran ↓, He Youzu ↑,
- 70', Ji Tianle ↓, Chen D. ↑,
- 70', Ji X. ↓, Chen G. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 0, Ren K. ⚽,
- 75', Li S. 🟨,
- 77', Li Xin ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,
- 77', Ma Bokang ↓, Wang Junhao ↑,
- 79', Ren K. ↓, Gao Yixuan ↑,
- 80', 4 - 1, He Youzu ⚽,
- 88', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
- 90+1', Wang Haozhi ↓, Guo Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Guangxi Hengchen
60.7% | Draw
25% | Changchun Xidu
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.41) |
3.64 ↓
(3.8) |
6.41 ↓
(6.96) |
9.6%
(11.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Guangxi Hengchen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Changchun Xidu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Changchun Xidu?
Guangxi Hengchen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Xidu won against Guangxi Hengchen?
Changchun Xidu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Hengchen - Changchun Xidu were as follows:
Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
Latest results of Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 56:14 | 42 | 66 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 36:14 | 22 | 55 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 42 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
