Kunming City vs Guangxi Hengchen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen
Result
0:3
03/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.47
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
70% (233/332)84% (387/463)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.282.22
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1223
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
70% (233/332)84% (387/463)
Long passes
45% (33/74)36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
44% (36/81)62% (79/127)
Crosses
31% (5/16)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.79
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1014
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4628
Clearances
2726
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.220.28
Goals prevented
-0.780.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Zhang Huajun , Zhang Zijian (A),
  • 36', Zhang J. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 2, Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
  • 39', Zhang Zijian 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yao Zhiyu , Li G. ,
  • 58', Ji X. , Chen D. ,
  • 58', Zhang Huajun , Yao Zixuan ,
  • 70', Hu H. , Tian Li ,
  • 70', Qi Long , Cao Enze ,
  • 71', Wang Haozhi , Wang H. ,
  • 71', Ning W. , Chen G. ,
  • 72', Ren K. 🟨,
  • 79', Fei Ernanduo , Ren Wei ,
  • 82', Yang H. , Wang Jiaqi ,
  • 82', Ablimit Subi , Gong Z. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', 0 - 3, Wei Chaolun ,

Chances of winning


Kunming City
11.3%
Draw
19.9%
Guangxi Hengchen
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 23.7% 62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 22.8% 65.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kunming City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.12
    (6.71)
    4.61
    (3.84)
    1.33
    (1.45)
    9.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Kunming City is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    • Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    • Recent form of Kunming City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kunming City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City 7:0
    06.07.2024 Kunming City - Guangxi Hengchen 0:1
    28.04.2024 Guangxi Hengchen - Kunming City 3:1
    Latest results of Kunming City
    Chinese Yi League Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen ✔ 27223258:154369
    2Wuxi Wugou27177337:142358
    3Shenzhen27157533:181552
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B27138643:232047
    5Guizhou Zhucheng27144938:30846
    6Shandong Taishan B271111538:261244
    7Nantong Haimen27119746:331342
    8Changchun Xidu271010722:21140

          Promotion ~ Jia League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League