Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (164/241) | 61% (124/204) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (164/241) | 61% (124/204) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (32/71) | 31% (20/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (38/86) | 50% (40/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 50% (2/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Huang Wei (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zhang Zili ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
- 50', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,
- 54', Asamoah S. ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
- 67', Huang Wei ↓, Yao Diran ↑,
- 67', Chen Quanjiang ↓, You Wenjie ↑,
- 71', Sadauskas R. 🟨,
- 77', 0 - 2, Xiang Yuwang ⚽, Li Zhenquan (A),
- 77', Hu Jiajin ↓, Liu Hao ↑,
- 78', Leonardo ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
- 86', Huang Xiyang ↓, Huang X. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Cheukoua M. (Pen),
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', Yang Minjie ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
- 90+8', He Xiaoqiang 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
23.4% | Draw
25.7% | Chongqing Tongliang Long
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Pingguo Haliao's performance.Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↓
(5.16) |
3.59 ↓
(3.77) |
1.81 ↑
(1.56) |
8.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Guangxi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chongqing is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guangxi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chongqing is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won against Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chongqing Tongliang Long won against Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?
Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chongqing Tongliang Long were as follows:
25.05.2025
Chongqing Tongliang Long
-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
0:0
03.11.2024
Chongqing Tongliang Long
-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1:1
29.06.2024
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1:1
Latest results of Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Latest results of Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 50:32 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 46:30 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 6 | Nantong Zhiyun | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 43 |
| 7 | Dingnan Ganlian | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 37:32 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 38 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:41 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Juniors | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 35:56 | -21 | 24 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
