Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 0.52 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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21 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Passes |
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67% (170/255) | 58% (122/209) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.62 | 0.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.34 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
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21 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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10 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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10 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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25 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 19 |
Passes |
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67% (170/255) | 58% (122/209) |
Long passes |
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47% (33/70) | 20% (14/71) |
Passes in final third |
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53% (55/103) | 48% (34/71) |
Crosses |
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19% (4/21) | 0% (0/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.66 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
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40 | 27 |
Fouls |
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19 | 14 |
Tackles |
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69% (9/13) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
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62 | 58 |
Clearances |
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31 | 46 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 1.34 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.31 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Feng Yifan 🟨,
- 30', Meng Zhen 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Lu Chenghe ⚽,
- 44', Yang Minjie 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ning An ↓, Chen Quanjiang ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Wang Xijie ⚽, Yu Menghui (A),
- 55', Zheng Xuejian ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
- 55', Wang Xijie ↓, Isic T. ↑,
- 56', Hu Jiajin ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
- 56', Lu Chenghe ↓, Cheukoua M. ↑,
- 64', Dong Honglin 🟨,
- 70', Yu Menghui ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
- 70', Guo Yi ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
- 75', Dong Honglin ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
- 78', Huang Wei ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
- 79', Chen Quanjiang 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Lupeta J. ⚽, Isic T. (A),
- 90', Zhang Wei ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
- 90+4', Lupeta J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nanjing City 58.1% | Draw 25.5% | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-14.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.59) |
3.59 ↑ (3.48) |
5.58 ↑ (5.48) |
9.2% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2.
- In recent matches, Nanjing City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guangxi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nanjing City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nanjing City is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nanjing City won against Guangxi Pingguo Haliao?
Nanjing City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Pingguo Haliao won against Nanjing City?
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao were as follows:
30.03.2025
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Nanjing City
0:1
20.10.2024
Nanjing City
-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
4:1
09.06.2024
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Nanjing City
2:2
21.10.2023
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
-
Nanjing City
0:0
08.07.2023
Nanjing City
-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
0:0
Latest results of Nanjing City
Latest results of Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 43 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
3 | Yanbian Longding | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 30 |
5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
7 | Dalian K'un City | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
8 | Nantong Zhiyun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Shaanxi Union | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
11 | Dingnan Ganlian | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 20 |
12 | Nanjing City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
15 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
16 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League