Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/426) | 75% (185/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/426) | 75% (185/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (39/67) | 27% (16/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (113/151) | 46% (36/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ji Tianle ↓, Ji X. ↑,
- 46', Yang Youxian ↓, Liang Z. ↑,
- 55', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Luan H. ⚽, Wang Haozhi (A),
- 63', Wang Haozhi ↓, Chen G. ↑,
- 64', Cai M. ↓, Li Zhuoxuan ↑,
- 64', Liang Yibin ↓, Huang Yiwen ↑,
- 74', Fan Ruiwei 🟨,
- 74', Chen Yuhao ↓, Luo Kai ↑,
- 74', Ren K. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
- 74', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
- 83', Li Jiaheng ↓, Dilyar A. ↑,
- 83', Liu Jiqiang ↓, Ling Chuanbin ↑,
- 89', Wei Chaolun ↓, Wang H. ↑,
- 90', Li S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Chen D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Diao Jiahao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guangxi Hengchen
63.9% | Draw
23.2% | Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Hengchen's performance.Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangxi Hengchen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.72) |
3.96 ↑
(3.64) |
7.1 ↑
(4.12) |
9%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
- Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
- Guangxi Hengchen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guangzhou Dandelion is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guangzhou Dandelion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?
Guangxi Hengchen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Guangxi Hengchen?
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Hengchen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:
16.05.2025
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
-
Guangxi Hengchen
1:3
Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 52:12 | 40 | 63 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 35:14 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 30:15 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 42:22 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 35:28 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 42:30 | 12 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
