Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guangxi Hengchen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen
Result
1:3
16/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.10
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
318
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
72% (227/315)83% (442/531)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.352.38
Total shots
318
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
924
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
1718
Passes
72% (227/315)83% (442/531)
Long passes
29% (19/65)48% (30/63)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)60% (71/118)
Crosses
0% (0/9)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.52
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
1817
Tackles
75% (9/12)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4753
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.380.35
Goals prevented
-0.62-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Huang Yiwen 🟨,
  • 37', Luo Kai , Chen Yuhao ,
  • 37', Li Haoyu , Liang Yibin ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Liang Yibin ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Gao Yixuan , Ren K. ,
  • 52', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
  • 54', Li Bin 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Yuan X. , Ji Tianle (A),
  • 59', Wang H. , Chen D. ,
  • 59', Zhang Huajun , Ning W. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Ning W. ,
  • 67', Huang Yiwen , Ling Zheng ,
  • 67', Li Zhuoxuan , Chen Xing ,
  • 72', Li S. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 3, Fei Ernanduo , Ning W. (A),
  • 76', Ling Chuanbin , Fan Ruiwei ,
  • 82', Wei Chaolun , Feng Yifan ,
  • 85', Fei Ernanduo , Huang Y. ,
  • 87', Liang Yibin 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
21.5%
Draw
30.8%
Guangxi Hengchen
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 33% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 33% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.
  • Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.28
    (3.39)
    2.98
    (2.76)
    1.93
    (2.27)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Guangxi Hengchen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2025

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wuxi Wugou ✔ 20125326:111541
    2Nantong Haimen20107338:231537
    3Changchun Xidu20106419:11836
    4Shandong Taishan B2098332:201235
    5Jiangxi Lushan20104623:18534
    6Hangzhou Linping2086623:25-230
    7Shanghai Port B ✔ 2067722:20225
    8Taian Tiankuang ✔ 20551019:25-620
    9Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ✔ 2047915:31-1619
    10Lanzhou Longyuan ✔ 2047919:29-1019
    11Hubei Istar ✔ 20361122:36-1415
    12Beijing Technology ✔ 20421419:28-914


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen ✔ 20163143:93451
    2Shenzhen ✔ 20126225:121342
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B20114535:161937
    4Guizhou Zhucheng20113631:24736
    5Guangzhou Dandelion20105530:171335
    6Wuhan Three Towns B ✔ 2085721:17429
    7Wenzhou Professional ✔ 2058718:22-423
    8Ganzhou Ruishi ✔ 20311617:27-1020
    9Kunming City Star ✔ 20461014:27-1318
    10Guangdong Mingtu ✔ 20371017:30-1316
    11Quanzhou Yassin ✔ 20261210:27-1712
    12Guangxi Lanhang ✔ 2006149:42-336

          Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
          Yi League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shanghai Port B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Taian Tiankuang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Beijing Technology is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shenzhen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Wuhan Three Towns B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Wenzhou Professional is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Ganzhou Ruishi is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Kunming City Star is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Quanzhou Yassin is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )