Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Guangxi Hengchen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou).

Yi League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.10
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
3	18
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
72% (227/315)	83% (442/531)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	2.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.35	2.38
Total shots
3	18
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
2	11
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
9	24
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
5	4
Free Kicks
17	18
Passes
72% (227/315)	83% (442/531)
Long passes
29% (19/65)	48% (30/63)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)	60% (71/118)
Crosses
0% (0/9)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	1.52
Throw-ins
21	26
Fouls
18	17
Tackles
75% (9/12)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
47	53
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.38	0.35
Goals prevented
-0.62	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Huang Yiwen 🟨,
37', Luo Kai ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
37', Li Haoyu ↓, Liang Yibin ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Liang Yibin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ren K. ↑,
52', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
54', Li Bin 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Yuan X. ⚽, Ji Tianle (A),
59', Wang H. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
59', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Ning W. ⚽,
67', Huang Yiwen ↓, Ling Zheng ↑,
67', Li Zhuoxuan ↓, Chen Xing ↑,
72', Li S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ning W. (A),
76', Ling Chuanbin ↓, Fan Ruiwei ↑,
82', Wei Chaolun ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
85', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
87', Liang Yibin 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
21.5%

Draw
30.8%

Guangxi Hengchen
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

33%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

33%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.39)	2.98 ↑ (2.76)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	8.9% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Guangxi Hengchen?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Guangxi Hengchen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen were as follows:

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

10.05.2025 Quanzhou Yassin - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Kunming City 1:2 ✺

02.05.2025 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen

11.05.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Wenzhou Professional 3:0 ✺

07.05.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangxi Hengchen 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Guangdong Mingtu - Guangxi Hengchen 0:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Guangxi Lanhang 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Shanghai Jiading Huilong 2:1 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2025

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou ✔	20	12	5	3	26:11	15	41
2	Nantong Haimen	20	10	7	3	38:23	15	37
3	Changchun Xidu	20	10	6	4	19:11	8	36
4	Shandong Taishan B	20	9	8	3	32:20	12	35
5	Jiangxi Lushan	20	10	4	6	23:18	5	34
6	Hangzhou Linping	20	8	6	6	23:25	-2	30
7	Shanghai Port B ✔	20	6	7	7	22:20	2	25
8	Taian Tiankuang ✔	20	5	5	10	19:25	-6	20
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ✔	20	4	7	9	15:31	-16	19
10	Lanzhou Longyuan ✔	20	4	7	9	19:29	-10	19
11	Hubei Istar ✔	20	3	6	11	22:36	-14	15
12	Beijing Technology ✔	20	4	2	14	19:28	-9	14

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen ✔	20	16	3	1	43:9	34	51
2	Shenzhen ✔	20	12	6	2	25:12	13	42
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	20	11	4	5	35:16	19	37
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	20	11	3	6	31:24	7	36
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	20	10	5	5	30:17	13	35
6	Wuhan Three Towns B ✔	20	8	5	7	21:17	4	29
7	Wenzhou Professional ✔	20	5	8	7	18:22	-4	23
8	Ganzhou Ruishi ✔	20	3	11	6	17:27	-10	20
9	Kunming City Star ✔	20	4	6	10	14:27	-13	18
10	Guangdong Mingtu ✔	20	3	7	10	17:30	-13	16
11	Quanzhou Yassin ✔	20	2	6	12	10:27	-17	12
12	Guangxi Lanhang ✔	20	0	6	14	9:42	-33	6

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Shanghai Port B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Taian Tiankuang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Beijing Technology is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Shenzhen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
Wuhan Three Towns B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Wenzhou Professional is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Ganzhou Ruishi is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Kunming City Star is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Quanzhou Yassin is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )