Shenzhen vs Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base (Shenzhen).

Yi League - Round 13

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.42	0.47
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
81% (311/386)	84% (320/382)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.42	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.79	0.75
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
21	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
81% (311/386)	84% (320/382)
Long passes
38% (18/48)	56% (34/61)
Passes in final third
62% (78/125)	64% (61/95)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.41
Throw-ins
19	12
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
71% (10/14)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
46	50
Clearances
13	43
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.75	0.79
Goals prevented
-0.25	-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Chen Xing 🟨,
29', Wang Zhiyuan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Huang Z. ↓, Ruoke Xiang ↑,
46', Chen Xing ↓, Li Zhuoxuan ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Li Zhuoxuan ⚽, Ling Zheng (A),
59', Diao Jiahao ↓, Li Bin ↑,
59', Li L. ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
59', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Wang Ziyang ↑,
63', Huang Peizhao ↓, Li Haoyu ↑,
63', Chen Yuhao ↓, Yang Youxian ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Chen W. ⚽, Jiang W. (A),
77', Li Mingjie ↓, Shi Z. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Zhong Wen ↓, Hu H. ↑,
88', Ling Zheng ↓, Cai M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Shenzhen
45.7%

Draw
31.6%

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

32%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	3.98 ↑ (3.1)	10.7% (11.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Shenzhen is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guangzhou Dandelion has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guangzhou Dandelion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Shenzhen is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Shenzhen?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha were as follows:

29.03.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Shenzhen 2:0

Latest results of Shenzhen

01.06.2025 Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu 1:1 ✺

26.05.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng B - Shenzhen 0:2 ✺

16.05.2025 Shenzhen - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Shenzhen - Guangxi Lanhang 2:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Wuhan Three Towns B - Shenzhen 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

31.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Chengdu Rongcheng B 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:0 ✺

20.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Zhejiang Professional 0:1 ✺

16.05.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guangxi Hengchen 1:3 ✺

10.05.2025 Quanzhou Yassin - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

Main

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	22	13	6	3	31:14	17	45
2	Shandong Taishan B	22	10	9	3	36:22	14	39
3	Nantong Haimen	22	10	8	4	38:24	14	38
4	Changchun Xidu	22	10	8	4	19:11	8	38
5	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:22	3	35
6	Hangzhou Linping	22	8	8	6	24:26	-2	32
7	Taian Tiankuang	22	7	5	10	22:25	-3	26
8	Shanghai Port B	22	6	7	9	25:26	-1	25
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	5	8	9	17:32	-15	23
10	Lanzhou Longyuan	22	5	7	10	21:32	-11	22
11	Beijing Technology	22	5	2	15	21:29	-8	17
12	Hubei Istar	22	3	7	12	23:39	-16	16

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	22	18	3	1	47:9	38	57
2	Shenzhen	22	14	6	2	30:13	17	48
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	22	12	4	6	39:20	19	40
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	22	12	3	7	33:25	8	39
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	11	5	6	31:18	13	38
6	Wuhan Three Towns B	22	8	5	9	21:20	1	29
7	Wenzhou Professional	22	6	8	8	21:27	-6	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	4	11	7	18:28	-10	23
9	Guangdong Mingtu	22	4	8	10	20:32	-12	20
10	Kunming City Star	22	4	7	11	15:31	-16	19
11	Quanzhou Yassin	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15
12	Guangxi Lanhang	22	0	6	16	10:45	-35	6

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )