Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha vs Shenzhen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou).

League Two - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.59	1.00
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
3	3
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	3
Passes
74% (270/363)	76% (288/380)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.59	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	1.61
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
1	0
Shots inside the box
7	6
Shots outside the box
3	0
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	2
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
14	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
8	17
Passes
74% (270/363)	76% (288/380)
Long passes
40% (21/52)	43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
53% (46/86)	61% (50/82)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.70
Throw ins
29	22
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
67% (10/15)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
32	43
Clearances
14	20
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.61	0.91
Goals prevented
-0.39	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Shohret R. ↓, Tian Xiangyu ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Jiang W. ⚽,
41', Dilyar Alamas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Lu J. ⚽,
60', Gao K. 🟨,
68', Gao K. ↓, Chen Xiaohan ↑,
68', Zhang Hao ↓, Diao Jiahao ↑,
68', Lu J. ↓, Liang Z. ↑,
74', Shi Z. ↓, Li L. ↑,
82', Li Mingjie ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Jiang W. ⚽, Luan Cheng (A),
87', Chen Xiaohan ↓, Erkin Ezimet ↑,
90', Chen Z. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
41.7%

Draw
30.4%

Shenzhen
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Shenzhen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.96)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	3.26 ↓ (3.83)	10.1% (10%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Guangzhou Dandelion is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Shenzhen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Shenzhen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Guangzhou Dandelion will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou Dandelion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Guangzhou Dandelion won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha won against Shenzhen?

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha?

Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Shenzhen were as follows:

08.06.2025 Shenzhen - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 1:1

29.03.2025 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Shenzhen 2:0

Latest results of Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha

24.04.2026 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 2:3 ✺

19.04.2026 Yunnan Cuanhe - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 0:1 ✺

14.04.2026 Guangdong Mingtu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 1:2 ✺

10.04.2026 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Jiangxi Lushan 2:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Chengdu Rongcheng B 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Shenzhen

25.04.2026 Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu 3:1 ✺

20.04.2026 Xiamen Chengyi - Shenzhen 0:1 ✺

15.04.2026 Shenzhen - Xiamen Feilu 3:3 ✺

11.04.2026 Chengdu Rongcheng B - Shenzhen 3:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shenzhen 0:0 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2026

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port B	7	6	1	0	16:3	13	19
2	Shandong Taishan B	7	5	1	1	13:6	7	16
3	Taian Tiankuang	7	3	2	2	8:6	2	11
4	Dalian Kewei	7	2	5	0	3:1	2	11
5	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8
6	Dalian Yingbo B	7	1	5	1	7:8	-1	8
7	Nantong Haimen	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7
8	Lanzhou Longyuan	7	1	4	2	3:6	-3	7
9	Changchun Xidu	7	1	4	2	6:10	-4	7
10	Qingdao Red Lions	7	0	5	2	6:8	-2	5
11	Shanghai Second	7	1	2	4	9:17	-8	5
12	Beijing Technology	7	0	3	4	5:12	-7	3

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guizhou Guiyang	7	5	0	2	8:6	2	15
2	Guangzhou Dandelion	7	4	1	2	10:7	3	13
3	Hubei Istar	7	3	3	1	8:6	2	12
4	Chengdu Rongcheng B	7	3	3	1	7:5	2	12
5	Xiamen Feilu	7	2	4	1	15:13	2	10
6	Jiangxi Lushan	7	2	3	2	8:6	2	9
7	Shenzhen	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
8	Hangzhou Linping	7	1	5	1	9:9	0	8
9	Ganzhou Ruishi	7	1	4	2	5:6	-1	7
10	Wenzhou Professional	7	0	4	3	3:6	-3	4
11	Wuhan Three Towns B	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4
12	Guangdong Mingtu	7	0	4	3	6:10	-4	4

Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
League Two (Relegation Group: )