Guangzhou Long-Lions vs Jilin Northeast Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/12/2025 at 06:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou).

CBA

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
62	62
Field Goals Made
33	28
Field Goals %
53.23%	45.16%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
41	31
2-Point Field Goals Made
24	15
2-Point Field Goals %
58.54%	48.39%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
21	31
3-Point Field Goals Made
9	13
3-Point Field Goals %
42.86%	41.94%
Free Throws Attempted
20	5
Free Throws Made
12	5
Free Throws %
60%	100%
Offensive Rebounds
17	6
Defensive Rebounds
28	15
Total Rebounds
45	21
Assists
19	12
Blocks
2	3
Turnovers
16	14
Steals
5	9
Personal Fouls
13	17

Chances of winning

Guangzhou Long-Lions
64.8%

Jilin Northeast Tigers
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.93)		2.75 ↑ (1.74)	2.4% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

What is the prediction for Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +2.5, OT - Guangzhou (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2, OT - Jilin (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Jilin (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 178, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 178.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 179.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 181.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guangzhou Long-Lions will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guangzhou Long-Lions will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jilin (votes: 5 - 31.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:87.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 3.
In recent matches, Guangzhou has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jilin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Jilin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Guangzhou has had a series of away games.
Recently, Jilin has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2128:2109. (average 106.4:105.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1137:1099. (average 113.7:109.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Guangzhou Long-Lions won against Jilin Northeast Tigers?

Guangzhou Long-Lions has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jilin Northeast Tigers won against Guangzhou Long-Lions?

Jilin Northeast Tigers has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers were as follows:

31.03.2025 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers 102:103

24.03.2025 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions 90:104

30.11.2024 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers 140:117

01.11.2024 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions 114:94

14.03.2024 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions 100:115

Latest results of Guangzhou Long-Lions

26.12.2025 Fujian Xunxing - Guangzhou Long-Lions 97:84 ✺

23.12.2025 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers 85:93 ✺

21.12.2025 Jiangsu Dragons - Guangzhou Long-Lions 86:93 ✺

19.12.2025 Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions 97:94 ✺

13.12.2025 Sichuan Blue Whales - Guangzhou Long-Lions 66:81 ✺

Latest results of Jilin Northeast Tigers

24.12.2025 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters 87:73 ✺

22.12.2025 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Ningbo Rockets 82:77 ✺

20.12.2025 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers 92:86 ✺

18.12.2025 Jilin Northeast Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang 90:80 ✺

16.12.2025 Shenzhen Leopards - Jilin Northeast Tigers 99:81 ✺

CBA Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Shanghai	23	19	4	2185:1845	0.826
2	Zhejiang Guangsha	23	19	4	2050:1792	0.826
3	Guangdong	23	17	6	2186:2087	0.739
4	Shandong	22	15	7	2054:1920	0.682
5	Beijing	23	14	9	2054:1911	0.609
6	Qingdao	23	14	9	1944:1867	0.609
7	Shenzhen	23	14	9	2207:2167	0.609
8	Zhejiang Chouzhou	23	13	10	1959:1852	0.565
9	Ningbo Rockets	23	12	11	2010:1968	0.522
10	Shanxi Zhongyu	23	12	11	2068:2002	0.522
11	Liaoning	23	11	12	1901:1898	0.478
12	Beijing Royal Fighters	23	11	12	1992:2109	0.478
13	Guangzhou	22	10	12	1896:1939	0.455
14	Jilin	23	9	14	1897:2019	0.391
15	Xinjiang	23	9	14	1964:1896	0.391
16	Tianjin	23	8	15	2119:2167	0.348
17	Fujian	23	8	15	2072:2148	0.348
18	Nanjing Tongxi	23	8	15	2084:2191	0.348
19	Jiangsu Dragons	23	6	17	1841:2059	0.261
20	Sichuan	23	0	23	1614:2260	0.000

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