Guangzhou Long-Lions vs Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
93:85
05/03/2026 at 06:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CBA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6887
Field goals made
3232
Field goals %
47.06%36.78%
2-point field goals attempts
4959
2-point field goals made
2726
2-point field goals %
55.1%44.07%
3-point field goals attempts
1928
3-point field goals made
56
3-point field goals %
26.32%21.43%
Free throws attempts
3419
Free throws made
2415
Free throws %
70.6%78.9%
Offensive rebounds
1225
Defensive rebounds
3228
Total rebounds
4453
Assists
2215
Blocks
82
Turnovers
1112
Steals
49
Personal fouls
1927

Chances of winning


Guangzhou Long-Lions
30.2%
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Long-Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.76)

    1.36
    (1.36)
    6.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guangzhou will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Shandong will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +10.5, OT - Guangzhou (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guangzhou Long-Lions will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:91.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 0.
    • Guangzhou is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shandong has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Guangzhou has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Shandong is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1943:2010. (average 97.2:100.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 793:800. (average 99.1:100).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin were as follows:
    31.01.2026 Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions 83:80
    19.03.2025 Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions 98:77
    13.01.2025 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin 89:121
    22.01.2024 Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions 112:105
    31.12.2023 Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Guangzhou Long-Lions 103:83
    CBA Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Shanghai373343709:30820.892
    2Zhejiang Guangsha373073365:29890.811
    3Shenzhen3726113641:34610.703
    4Beijing3725123341:30830.676
    5Guangdong3725123526:32950.676
    6Zhejiang Chouzhou3723143226:30270.622
    7Shandong3723143490:33330.622
    8Qingdao3722153268:31260.595
    9Liaoning3720173181:31010.541
    10Ningbo Rockets3719183181:31400.514
    11Shanxi Zhongyu3719183401:33250.514
    12Guangzhou3715223231:32930.405
    13Jilin3715223097:33320.405
    14Beijing Royal Fighters3715223277:34670.405
    15Xinjiang3713243156:32050.351
    16Fujian3713243401:35150.351
    17Nanjing Tongxi3713243358:35280.351
    18Tianjin3711263445:35830.297
    19Jiangsu Dragons3710273020:33700.270
    20Sichuan370372629:36880.000

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