Guangzhou Long-Lions vs Shenzhen Leopards – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
86:99
24/04/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CBA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5956
Field goals made
3139
Field goals %
52.54%69.64%
2-point field goals attempts
3839
2-point field goals made
2128
2-point field goals %
55.26%71.79%
3-point field goals attempts
2117
3-point field goals made
1011
3-point field goals %
47.62%64.71%
Free throws attempts
2012
Free throws made
1410
Free throws %
70%83.3%
Offensive rebounds
85
Defensive rebounds
1323
Total rebounds
2128
Assists
715
Blocks
11
Turnovers
55
Steals
13
Personal fouls
912

Chances of winning


Guangzhou Long-Lions
26.6%
Shenzhen Leopards
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 54.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Long-Lions's form might have worsened.
  • Shenzhen Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Leopards's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Long-Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Leopards than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Leopards, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (2.28)

    1.32
    (1.57)
    5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 186.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guangzhou will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shenzhen will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 91:95.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Shenzhen might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2112:2073. (average 105.6:103.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1036:1070. (average 103.6:107).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards were as follows:
    16.03.2026 Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions 97:96
    08.03.2025 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards 86:104
    29.10.2024 Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions 101:108
    24.03.2024 Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions 89:101
    05.02.2024 Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards 109:96
    Latest results of Guangzhou Long-Lions
    Latest results of Shenzhen Leopards
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Shanghai (1)Bye
    2Shandong (8)Liaoning (9)0 : 1
    3Beijing (4)Bye
    4Guangdong (5)Guangzhou (12)0 : 1
    5Zhejiang Guangsha (2)Bye
    6Qingdao (7)Shanxi Zhongyu (10)
    7Shenzhen (3)Bye
    8Zhejiang Chouzhou (6)Ningbo Rockets (11)