Brusque vs Guarani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Second stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Total shots
154
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Raphael 🟨,
  • 20', Diego Mathias 🟨,
  • 22', Lucas Justen 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Raphael ,
  • 39', Mirandinha 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Alex Ruan ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Isaque , Kaua Jesus ,
  • 58', David Braz , Giva ,
  • 61', Olavio , Douglas Oliveira ,
  • 69', Giva , Caio Mello ,
  • 69', Mirandinha , Gabriel Silva ,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 76', Bruno Santos 🟥,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Diego Mathias ,
  • 82', Diego Torres , Junior Brandao ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Alan Santos ,
  • 90+6', Bernardo , Robinho ,
  • 90+6', Diego Mathias , Thomaz ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Everton Alemao ,
  • 90+8', Everton Alemao 🟨,
  • 90+11', Robinho 🟥,
  • 90+15', Clinton U. , Roberto Rosa ,

Chances of winning


Brusque
34.9%
Draw
35.1%
Guarani
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 32.2% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 32.9% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.
  • Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Brusque - Guarani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.25)
    2.61
    (2.82)
    3.04
    (3.3)
    9.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Brusque - Guarani?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Guarani (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Brusque (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brusque (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guarani (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 2.
    • Brusque is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Guarani is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Brusque has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brusque - Guarani were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Guarani - Brusque 1:0
    20.04.2025 Brusque - Guarani 1:0
    17.11.2024 Brusque - Guarani 2:1
    28.07.2024 Guarani - Brusque 1:0
    Latest results of Brusque
    24.09.2025 Concórdia - Brusque 2:1
    21.09.2025 Guarani - Brusque 1:0
    17.09.2025 Chapecoense - Brusque 0:0
    14.09.2025 Ponte Preta - Brusque 1:0
    09.09.2025 Brusque - Santa Catarina 1:2
    Latest results of Guarani
    21.09.2025 Guarani - Brusque 1:0
    06.09.2025 Guarani - Ponte Preta 0:1
    30.08.2025 Tombense - Guarani 2:2
    25.08.2025 Guarani - Confiança 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense00000:000
    2Volta Redonda00000:000
    3Ituano00000:000
    4Santa Cruz00000:000
    5Itabaiana00000:000
    6Confianca00000:000
    7Guarani00000:000
    8Paysandu PA00000:000
    9Botafogo PB00000:000
    10Brusque00000:000
    11Ferroviaria00000:000
    12SER Caxias00000:000
    13Anapolis00000:000
    14Maranhao00000:000
    15Inter de Limeira00000:000
    16Maringa FC00000:000
    17Ypiranga FC00000:000
    18Floresta EC00000:000
    19Amazonas00000:000
    20Barra FC00000:000

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