Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Raphael 🟨,
- 20', Diego Mathias 🟨,
- 22', Lucas Justen 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Raphael ⚽,
- 39', Mirandinha 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Alex Ruan ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Isaque ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 58', David Braz ↓, Giva ↑,
- 61', Olavio ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
- 69', Giva ↓, Caio Mello ↑,
- 69', Mirandinha ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 71', 🟨,
- 76', Bruno Santos 🟥,
- 78', 2 - 1, Diego Mathias ⚽,
- 82', Diego Torres ↓, Junior Brandao ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Alan Santos ⚽,
- 90+6', Bernardo ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 90+6', Diego Mathias ↓, Thomaz ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Everton Alemao ⚽,
- 90+8', Everton Alemao 🟨,
- 90+11', Robinho 🟥,
- 90+15', Clinton U. ↓, Roberto Rosa ↑,
Chances of winning
Brusque
34.9% | Draw
35.1% | Guarani
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Brusque - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.25) |
2.61 ↓
(2.82) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
9.3%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Brusque - Guarani?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 2.
- Brusque is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guarani is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Brusque has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Brusque won against Guarani?
Brusque has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Brusque?
Guarani has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brusque - Guarani were as follows:
21.09.2025
Guarani
-
Brusque
1:0
20.04.2025
Brusque
-
Guarani
1:0
17.11.2024
Brusque
-
Guarani
2:1
28.07.2024
Guarani
-
Brusque
1:0
Latest results of Brusque
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Floresta EC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | SER Caxias | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ponte Preta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Guarani | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Nautico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet
