Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | BandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Total shots |
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8 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 3 |
Total shots |
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8 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Mateus Silva 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Lucas Cardoso ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gabriel Silva ↓, Isaque ↑,
- 46', Allyson ↓, Raphael ↑,
- 56', Diego Torres ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 63', Paulo Sergio 🟨,
- 71', Mirandinha ↓, Giva ↑,
- 73', Kelvin ↓, Kayon ↑,
- 74', Auremir 🟨,
- 77', Rian Kelvi ↓, Caio Mello ↑,
- 81', Paulo Sergio ↓, Samuel ↑,
- 81', Auremir ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
- 81', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Wenderson ↑,
Chances of winning
Guarani 46.9% | Draw 30.4% | Náutico Capibaribe 22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.94) |
3.02 ↑ (3) |
4.04 ↑ (3.8) |
9.1% (11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Guarani has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Náutico is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guarani will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Guarani has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Guarani?
Náutico Capibaribe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
Latest results of Guarani
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
9 | CSA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
15 | Maringa FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
16 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Figueirense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
18 | Itabaiana | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D