Guarani vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
85
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Mateus Silva 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Lucas Cardoso ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gabriel Silva , Isaque ,
  • 46', Allyson , Raphael ,
  • 56', Diego Torres , Kaua Jesus ,
  • 63', Paulo Sergio 🟨,
  • 71', Mirandinha , Giva ,
  • 73', Kelvin , Kayon ,
  • 74', Auremir 🟨,
  • 77', Rian Kelvi , Caio Mello ,
  • 81', Paulo Sergio , Samuel ,
  • 81', Auremir , Bruno Mezenga ,
  • 81', Lucas Cardoso , Wenderson ,

Chances of winning


Guarani
46.9%
Draw
30.4%
Náutico Capibaribe
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 30% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28.2% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.94)
    3.02
    (3)
    4.04
    (3.8)
    9.1%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Guarani has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Náutico is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guarani will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Guarani
    21.07.2025 Anápolis - Guarani 2:0
    13.07.2025 Guarani - Ituano 0:0
    06.07.2025 Londrina - Guarani 1:1
    15.06.2025 Guarani - Itabaiana 2:1
    31.05.2025 Retrô Brasil - Guarani 0:2
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias16120426:17936
    2Nautico1685320:61429
    3Sao Bernardo1685318:9929
    4Ponte Preta1683516:15127
    5Londrina1675424:16826
    6Floresta EC1666413:13024
    7Brusque1664616:15122
    8Ypiranga FC1663713:17-421
    9CSA1556418:16221
    10Confianca1655619:21-220
    11Guarani1655613:15-220
    12Ituano1655615:18-320
    13Botafogo PB1654719:17219
    14Anapolis1647513:17-419
    15Maringa FC1538419:21-217
    16ABC16211316:19-317
    17Figueirense1537516:16016
    18Itabaiana1543812:17-515
    19Retro163496:19-1313
    20Tombense1626812:20-812

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D