Result
0:2
13/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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64% | 36% |
Total shots |
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23 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 1 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Total shots |
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23 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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9 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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14 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Bruno Santos ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Alan Santos ⚽,
- 40', Patrick Allan ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 45', Raphael 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Justen ↓, JP Galvao ↑,
- 46', Igor Pereira ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 46', Rayan ↓, Raimar ↑,
- 47', Arnaldo 🟨,
- 59', Mirandinha 🟨,
- 60', Mirandinha ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 64', Isaque ↓, Renan Castro ↑,
- 64', Bruno Santos ↓, Junior Brandao ↑,
- 72', Mateus Silva ↓, Indio ↑,
- 73', Diego Torres ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
- 74', Marco Antonio ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 85', Dalberson 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe 34.1% | Draw 32.7% | Guarani 33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarani's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.63 ↑ (2.07) |
3.78 ↑ (3.08) |
3.73 ↑ (3.41) |
-19.2% (10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 50%). Guarani (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Náutico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guarani is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Náutico is the team to beat.
- We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Guarani?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Guarani has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani were as follows:
26.07.2025
Guarani
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:1
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Londrina | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
2 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
3 | SER Caxias | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
4 | Floresta EC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ponte Preta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 10 |
2 | Guarani | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Nautico | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
4 | Brusque | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
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