Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | BandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 9', Lucas Justen 🟨,
- 45', Emerson 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Dentinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Cardoso ↓, Paulo Sergio ↑,
- 47', Joao Maistro ↓, Mateus Silva ↑,
- 55', Alan Santos 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 60', Junior Brandao ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 60', Isaque ↓, Caio Mello ↑,
- 72', Lucas Justen ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
- 72', Diego Torres ↓, Cicinho ↑,
- 72', Helio Borges ↓, Kayon ↑,
- 74', Alan Santos 🟨,
- 76', 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- 80', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guarani
40% | Draw
32.5% | Náutico Capibaribe
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarani's form might have worsened.Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2) |
2.84 ↓
(3.03) |
3.38 ↓
(3.64) |
8.1%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Guarani is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Guarani has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Guarani?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
13.09.2025
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Guarani
0:2
26.07.2025
Guarani
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:1
Latest results of Guarani
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Draw
Play OffsFinal| 1 | Ponte Preta | Londrina | 0 : 0 |
