Náutico Capibaribe vs Guarani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani
Result
0:2
13/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Second stage - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
95
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
236
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
141
Corner Kicks
81
Goalkeeper Saves
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Bruno Santos ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Alan Santos ,
  • 40', Patrick Allan , Vitinho ,
  • 45', Raphael 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Justen , JP Galvao ,
  • 46', Igor Pereira , Wenderson ,
  • 46', Rayan , Raimar ,
  • 47', Arnaldo 🟨,
  • 59', Mirandinha 🟨,
  • 60', Mirandinha , Kaua Jesus ,
  • 64', Isaque , Renan Castro ,
  • 64', Bruno Santos , Junior Brandao ,
  • 72', Mateus Silva , Indio ,
  • 73', Diego Torres , Kadi Silva ,
  • 74', Marco Antonio , Igor Bolt ,
  • 85', Dalberson 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Náutico Capibaribe
34.1%
Draw
32.7%
Guarani
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 29.5% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 28.5% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.
  • Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarani's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (2.07)
    3.78
    (3.08)
    3.73
    (3.41)
    -19.2%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Náutico (votes: 1 - 50%). Guarani (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Náutico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Guarani is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Náutico is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Guarani - Náutico Capibaribe 0:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Latest results of Guarani
    06.09.2025 Guarani - Ponte Preta 0:1
    30.08.2025 Tombense - Guarani 2:2
    25.08.2025 Guarani - Confiança 1:0
    16.08.2025 ABC - Guarani 3:4
    09.08.2025 Guarani - Ypiranga 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina30303:303
    2Sao Bernardo30302:203
    3SER Caxias30301:103
    4Floresta EC30300:003


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta43104:1310
    2Guarani42025:416
    3Nautico41122:4-24
    4Brusque41033:5-23

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