Result
1:4
02/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 6
- Referee: Araujo V. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (332/405) | 76% (285/374) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (56/89) | 56% (56/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 56% (5/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 74% (17/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Rios R. ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
- 13', 0 - 2, Mauricio ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
- 27', Vanderlan 🟨,
- 28', Emerson 🟨,
- 40', Geovane ↓, Vinicius Kaue ↑,
- 40', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 0 - 3, Estevao ⚽, Raphael Veiga (A),
- 59', Moreno A. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 59', Vanderlan ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
- 60', Titi ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 60', Luiz Miguel ↓, Denilson ↑,
- 60', Joao Victor ↓, Rafael Bilu ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Denilson ⚽,
- 72', Mauricio ↓, Thalys ↑,
- 78', Marcos Rocha ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 78', Raphael Veiga ↓, Naves ↑,
- 84', Mateus Sarara ↓, Leo Porfirio ↑,
- 86', 1 - 4, Estevao ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
Chances of winning
Guarani
14.7% | Draw
24.7% | Palmeiras
60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-5%)
Guarani - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6 ↑
(4.75) |
3.8 ↑
(3.5) |
1.53 ↓
(1.75) |
8.3%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guarani - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Palmeiras is absolute favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Palmeiras?
Guarani has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Guarani?
Palmeiras has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Palmeiras were as follows:
05.03.2023
Guarani
-
Palmeiras
0:0
Latest results of Guarani
Latest results of Palmeiras
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
