Result
0:1
26/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 5
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (253/317) | 86% (351/410) |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (253/317) | 86% (351/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 56% (37/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/111) | 79% (70/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Gustavo Henrique 🟥,
- 33', Matheus Cadorini ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Raphael ↓, Cicinho ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Jonathan Costa ⚽,
- 71', Guilherme Parede ↓, Dentinho ↑,
- 72', Isaque ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 74', Ewerthon ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
- 75', Ze Vitor ↓, Denis ↑,
- 80', Mirandinha ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 85', Guilherme Dantas ↓, Marcelo Freitas ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Pires ↓, Keven ↑,
- 88', Nathan Melo ↓, Ralf ↑,
Chances of winning
Portuguesa
51.3% | Draw
29.2% | Guarani
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Portuguesa - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.14) |
3.17 ↑
(2.96) |
4.75 ↑
(3.53) |
7.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Portuguesa - Guarani?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portuguesa: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Portuguesa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
- Portuguesa could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Portuguesa: Lucas Hipolito
(Inactive)
Rene
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Guarani: Igor Pereira
(Injury)
Rian
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Portuguesa: Gustavo Salomao
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against Guarani?
Portuguesa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Portuguesa?
Guarani has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portuguesa - Guarani were as follows:
18.02.2024
Portuguesa
-
Guarani
1:0
10.03.2023
Guarani
-
Portuguesa
2:1
08.02.2023
Guarani
-
Portuguesa
2:1
Latest results of Portuguesa
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
