Sampaio Corrêa vs Guarani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani
Result
1:1
26/08/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)

Chances of winning


Sampaio Corrêa
42.3%
Draw
33.1%
Guarani
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 31.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 31.4% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.
  • Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.52)
    2.81
    (2.97)
    3.77
    (2.94)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Guarani will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2%64.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Jhony Douglas (Injury) Para (Injury) Rafael Jansen (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Sampaio Corrêa: Fabio Aguiar (Injury) Ferreira (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani were as follows:
    13.05.2023 Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa 2:0
    03.09.2022 Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa 3:0
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa
    Latest results of Guarani
    18.08.2023 Guarani - Sport Recife 3:1
    13.08.2023 Guarani - Juventude 0:1
    05.08.2023 Ituano - Guarani 1:1
    02.08.2023 Guarani - Ceará 0:0
    29.07.2023 Avaí - Guarani 1:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias30149734:26851
    3Criciuma30148839:261350
    4Athletico-PR301461043:39448
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8Atletico GO301112734:28645
    9Remo301112734:28645
    10CRB301341334:30443
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR301091131:29239
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )