Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul).

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Match Stats


Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
6	4
Corner kicks
8	3
Total shots
19	11
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
13	7
Corner kicks
8	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Welder ⚽,

Chances of winning

Caxias
61.3%

Draw
25.2%

Guarany de Bagé
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

25.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Caxias - Guarany de Bagé Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	3.63 (3.63)	6.78 ↑ (6.6)	8.7% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Recent form of Caxias has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guarany de Bagé has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Caxias is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Guarany de Bagé?

Caxias has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Caxias?

Guarany de Bagé has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:

18.01.2026 Caxias - Guarany de Bagé 4:1

12.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Caxias 0:0

08.02.2024 Guarany de Bagé - Caxias 1:1

Latest results of Caxias

21.02.2026 Caxias - São Luiz 0:2 ✺

16.02.2026 São Luiz - Caxias 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 Caxias - Ypiranga 0:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Caxias - Internacional RS 0:1 ✺

26.01.2026 EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Guarany de Bagé

21.02.2026 Inter Santa Maria - Guarany de Bagé 0:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Inter Santa Maria 3:2 ✺

09.02.2026 Avenida - Guarany de Bagé 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé 2:0 ✺

Draw

2026

1/256-finals

1	Ivinhema	Independente AP	1 : 0
2	Bye	Volta Redonda
3	America RN	Bye
4	Bye	GAS
5	Barra FC	Bye
7	America MG	Bye
8	America SE	Tirol	1 : 2
9	Sampaio Correa FE	Desportiva Ferroviaria	1 : 2
10	Bye	Sport Recife
11	Anapolis	Bye
12	Bye	Cianorte
13	Rio Branco ES	Bye
14	Bye	Athletic Club
15	Ypiranga FC	Bye
16	Ji-Parana	Pantanal	2 : 0
17	Castanhal	Bye
18	Bye	Guarani
19	Nova Iguacu	Bye
20	Bye	Lagarto
21	Manauara	Bye
22	Bye	Itabaiana
23	Fortaleza	Bye
24	Maguary	Laguna RN	1 : 0
25	Santa Catarina	IAPE	2 : 0
26	Bye	Cuiaba
27	Ceilandia	Bye
28	Bye	Jacuipense
29	Mixto	Bye
30	Bye	Botafogo PB
31	Novorizontino	Bye
32	Bye	Nacional-AM
33	Joinville	Bye
34	Bye	CSA
35	Sao Bernardo	Bye
36	Bye	Alagoinhas
37	Sao Luiz	Bye
38	Bye	Maranhao
39	Ceara	Bye
40	Araguaina	Primavera	0 : 3
41	Vasco da Gama AC	Velo Clube	1 : 2
42	Bye	Vila Nova FC
43	ASA	Bye
44	Bye	Operario MS
45	Confianca	Bye
47	Tombense	Bye
48	Bye	Oratorio
49	Operario VG	Bye
50	Bye	Porto Velho
51	Atletico GO	Bye
52	Primavera AC	Bragantino	2 : 1
53	Ponte Preta	Bye
55	SER Caxias	Bye
56	Bye	Guarany de Bage
57	Boavista	Bye
58	Bye	Maringa FC
59	Retro	Bye
60	Bye	Uberlandia
61	Gama	Monte Roraima	2 : 0
62	Bye	Goias
63	Trem	Bye
64	Bye	Fluminense-PI
65	Tuna Luso	Bye
66	Bye	Tocantinopolis
67	Juventude	Bye
68	Galvez	Guapore	1 : 2
69	Bare	Madureira	0 : 3
70	Bye	ABC
71	Aguia De Maraba	Bye
72	Bye	Independencia
73	Capital FC	Bye
74	Bye	Manaus
75	Londrina	Bye
76	Bye	SC Penedense
77	Betim	Piaui	1 : 0
78	Bye	Operario-PR
79	Juazeirense	Bye
80	Bye	Capital
81	Santa Cruz	Bye
82	Bye	Sousa
83	CRB	Bye
84	Porto-BA	Serra Branca	2 : 1
85	Imperatriz	Bye
86	Bye	Amazonas
87	Figueirense	Bye
88	Bye	Azuriz
89	Portuguesa	Bye
90	Bye	AE Altos
91	Avai	Bye
92	Bye	Porto Vitoria
93	Paysandu PA	Bye
95	Portuguesa RJ	Bye
96	Bye	Maracana

1/128-finals

1	Ivinhema	Volta Redonda	2 : 4
2	America RN	GAS	3 : 0
3	Barra FC	Bye
4	America MG	Tirol	2 : 1
5	Desportiva Ferroviaria	Sport Recife	0 : 1
6	Anapolis	Cianorte	3 : 1
7	Rio Branco ES	Athletic Club	1 : 2
8	Ypiranga FC	Ji-Parana	2 : 0
9	Castanhal	Guarani	2 : 1
10	Nova Iguacu	Lagarto	2 : 1
11	Manauara	Itabaiana	3 : 1
12	Fortaleza	Maguary	4 : 3
13	Santa Catarina	Cuiaba	2 : 1
14	Ceilandia	Jacuipense	1 : 2
15	Mixto	Botafogo PB	2 : 1
16	Novorizontino	Nacional-AM	4 : 0
17	Joinville	CSA	1 : 0
18	Sao Bernardo	Alagoinhas	2 : 0
19	Sao Luiz	Maranhao	0 : 1
20	Ceara	Primavera	2 : 1
21	Velo Clube	Vila Nova FC	0 : 1
22	ASA	Operario MS	1 : 2
23	Confianca	Bye
24	Tombense	Oratorio	2 : 1
25	Operario VG	Porto Velho	1 : 2
26	Atletico GO	Primavera AC	1 : 0
27	Ponte Preta	Bye
28	SER Caxias	Guarany de Bage	0 : 1
29	Boavista	Maringa FC	2 : 3
30	Retro	Uberlandia	1 : 2
31	Gama	Goias	2 : 3
32	Trem	Fluminense-PI	0 : 1
33	Tuna Luso	Tocantinopolis	4 : 1
34	Juventude	Guapore	5 : 0
35	Madureira	ABC	1 : 0
36	Aguia De Maraba	Independencia	2 : 0
37	Capital FC	Manaus	1 : 2
38	Londrina	SC Penedense	1 : 0
39	Betim	Operario-PR	0 : 2
40	Juazeirense	Capital	1 : 2
41	Santa Cruz	Sousa	0 : 1
42	CRB	Porto-BA	6 : 0
43	Imperatriz	Amazonas	0 : 3
44	Figueirense	Azuriz	1 : 0
45	Portuguesa	AE Altos	5 : 1
46	Avai	Porto Vitoria	3 : 0
47	Paysandu PA	Bye
48	Portuguesa RJ	Maracana	1 : 0

1/64-finals

1	Volta Redonda	America RN	1 : 0
2	Barra FC	America MG	1 : 0
3	Sport Recife	Anapolis	2 : 1
4	Athletic Club	Ypiranga FC	2 : 0
5	Castanhal	Nova Iguacu	0 : 4
6	Manauara	Fortaleza	0 : 1
7	Santa Catarina	Jacuipense	0 : 1
8	Mixto	Novorizontino	0 : 3
9	Joinville	Sao Bernardo	0 : 1
10	Maranhao	Ceara	0 : 1
11	Vila Nova FC	Operario MS	2 : 1
12	Confianca	Tombense	2 : 0
13	Porto Velho	Atletico GO	0 : 1
14	Ponte Preta	Guarany de Bage	1 : 0
15	Maringa FC	Uberlandia	3 : 2
16	Goias	Fluminense-PI	3 : 0
17	Tuna Luso	Juventude	1 : 2
18	Madureira	Aguia De Maraba	0 : 1
19	Manaus	Londrina	0 : 1
20	Operario-PR	Capital	2 : 0
21	Sousa	CRB	0 : 2
22	Amazonas	Figueirense	0 : 1
23	Portuguesa	Avai	2 : 1
24	Paysandu PA	Portuguesa RJ	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Volta Redonda	Barra FC
2	Sport Recife	Athletic Club	1 : 3
3	Nova Iguacu	Fortaleza	0 : 1
4	Jacuipense	Novorizontino
5	Sao Bernardo	Ceara	0 : 1
6	Vila Nova FC	Confianca
7	Atletico GO	Ponte Preta
8	Maringa FC	Goias
9	Juventude	Aguia De Maraba
10	Londrina	Operario-PR	0 : 1
11	CRB	Figueirense
12	Portuguesa	Paysandu PA	2 : 3