Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul).

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Chances of winning

Caxias
61.4%

Draw
25.1%

Guarany de Bagé
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

25.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Caxias - Guarany de Bagé Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	3.64 ↑ (3.63)	6.75 ↑ (6.6)	8.9% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Recent form of Caxias has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guarany de Bagé has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Caxias is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Guarany de Bagé?

Caxias has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Caxias?

Guarany de Bagé has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:

18.01.2026 Caxias - Guarany de Bagé 4:1

12.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Caxias 0:0

08.02.2024 Guarany de Bagé - Caxias 1:1

Latest results of Caxias

21.02.2026 Caxias - São Luiz 0:2 ✺

16.02.2026 São Luiz - Caxias 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 Caxias - Ypiranga 0:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Caxias - Internacional RS 0:1 ✺

26.01.2026 EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Guarany de Bagé

21.02.2026 Inter Santa Maria - Guarany de Bagé 0:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Inter Santa Maria 3:2 ✺

09.02.2026 Avenida - Guarany de Bagé 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé 2:0 ✺

Draw

2026

1/256-finals

1	Barra	Bye
3	America MG	Bye
4	America SE	Tirol	1 : 2
5	Ivinhema	Independente AP	1 : 0
6	Bye	Volta Redonda
7	America RN	Bye
8	Bye	GAS
9	Sampaio Correa FE	Desportiva Ferroviaria	1 : 2
10	Bye	Sport Recife
11	Anapolis	Bye
12	Bye	Cianorte
13	Rio Branco ES	Bye
14	Bye	Athletic Club
15	Ypiranga FC	Bye
16	Ji-Parana	Pantanal	2 : 0
17	Manauara	Bye
18	Bye	Itabaiana
19	Fortaleza	Bye
20	Maguary	Laguna RN	1 : 0
21	Castanhal	Bye
22	Bye	Guarani
23	Nova Iguacu	Bye
24	Bye	Lagarto
25	Santa Catarina	IAPE	2 : 0
26	Bye	Cuiaba
27	Ceilandia	Bye
28	Bye	Jacuipense
29	Mixto	Bye
30	Bye	Botafogo PB
31	Novorizontino	Bye
32	Bye	Nacional-AM
33	Sao Luiz	Bye
34	Bye	Maranhao
35	Ceara	Bye
36	Araguaina	Primavera	0 : 3
37	Joinville	Bye
38	Bye	CSA
39	Sao Bernardo	Bye
40	Bye	Alagoinhas
41	Vasco da Gama AC	Velo Clube	1 : 2
42	Bye	Vila Nova FC
43	ASA	Bye
44	Bye	Operario MS
45	Confianca	Bye
47	Tombense	Bye
48	Bye	Oratorio
49	Ponte Preta	Bye
51	SER Caxias	Bye
52	Bye	Guarany de Bage
53	Operario VG	Bye
54	Bye	Porto Velho
55	Atletico GO	Bye
56	Primavera AC	Bragantino	2 : 1
57	Boavista	Bye
58	Bye	Maringa FC
59	Retro	Bye
60	Bye	Uberlandia
61	Gama	Monte Roraima	2 : 0
62	Bye	Goias
63	Trem	Bye
64	Bye	Fluminense-PI
65	Bare	Madureira	0 : 3
66	Bye	ABC
67	Aguia De Maraba	Bye
68	Bye	Independencia
69	Tuna Luso	Bye
70	Bye	Tocantinopolis
71	Juventude	Bye
72	Galvez	Guapore	1 : 2
73	Capital FC	Bye
74	Bye	Manaus
75	Londrina	Bye
76	Bye	SC Penedense
77	Betim	Piaui	1 : 0
78	Bye	Operario-PR
79	Juazeirense	Bye
80	Bye	Capital
81	Imperatriz	Bye
82	Bye	Amazonas
83	Figueirense	Bye
84	Bye	Azuriz
85	Santa Cruz	Bye
86	Bye	Sousa
87	CRB	Bye
88	Porto-BA	Serra Branca	2 : 1
89	Portuguesa	Bye
90	Bye	AE Altos
91	Avai	Bye
92	Bye	Porto Vitoria
93	Paysandu PA	Bye
95	Portuguesa RJ	Bye
96	Bye	Maracana

1/128-finals

1	Barra	Bye
2	America MG	Tirol
3	Ivinhema	Volta Redonda
4	America RN	GAS	3 : 0
5	Desportiva Ferroviaria	Sport Recife
6	Anapolis	Cianorte
7	Rio Branco ES	Athletic Club
8	Ypiranga FC	Ji-Parana
9	Manauara	Itabaiana
10	Fortaleza	Maguary	4 : 3
11	Castanhal	Guarani
12	Nova Iguacu	Lagarto
13	Santa Catarina	Cuiaba
14	Ceilandia	Jacuipense
15	Mixto	Botafogo PB
16	Novorizontino	Nacional-AM
17	Sao Luiz	Maranhao
18	Ceara	Primavera
19	Joinville	CSA	1 : 0
20	Sao Bernardo	Alagoinhas
21	Velo Clube	Vila Nova FC
22	ASA	Operario MS
23	Confianca	Bye
24	Tombense	Oratorio
25	Ponte Preta	Bye
26	SER Caxias	Guarany de Bage
27	Operario VG	Porto Velho
28	Atletico GO	Primavera AC
29	Boavista	Maringa FC	2 : 3
30	Retro	Uberlandia
31	Gama	Goias
32	Trem	Fluminense-PI
33	Madureira	ABC
34	Aguia De Maraba	Independencia
35	Tuna Luso	Tocantinopolis
36	Juventude	Guapore
37	Capital FC	Manaus
38	Londrina	SC Penedense
39	Betim	Operario-PR
40	Juazeirense	Capital
41	Imperatriz	Amazonas
42	Figueirense	Azuriz
43	Santa Cruz	Sousa
44	CRB	Porto-BA
45	Portuguesa	AE Altos
46	Avai	Porto Vitoria
47	Paysandu PA	Bye
48	Portuguesa RJ	Maracana

1/64-finals

1	Barra	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	America RN
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	Fortaleza
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
8	TBD #15	TBD #16
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	Joinville	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	TBD #22
12	Confianca	TBD #24
13	Ponte Preta	TBD #26
14	TBD #27	TBD #28
15	Maringa FC	TBD #30
16	TBD #31	TBD #32
17	TBD #33	TBD #34
18	TBD #35	TBD #36
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	TBD #42
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
23	TBD #45	TBD #46
24	Paysandu PA	TBD #48