Result
0:0
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Relegation - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/373) | 75% (211/281) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/373) | 75% (211/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (78/123) | 60% (55/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Jean Martim 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jean Martim ↓, Marcao ↑,
- 54', Medina F. ↓, Camargo ↑,
- 58', Yuri Bigode 🟨,
- 62', Jean Carlo ↓, Caio Rangel ↑,
- 64', Allan ↓, Raphinha ↑,
- 64', Tony Junior ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 72', Luan Santos ↓, Anderson Paraiba ↑,
- 74', Marquinhos ↓, Adailson ↑,
- 84', Raphinha 🟨,
- 86', Fabinho Polhao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guarany de Bagé 48.5% | Draw 31.1% | Monsoon 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarany de Bagé's performance.Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.15) |
2.94 (2.94) |
4.53 ↑ (3.7) |
8.5% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Guarany de Bagé (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Guarany de Bagé (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guarany de Bagé will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Guarany de Bagé (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Guarany de Bagé has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monsoon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Monsoon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Guarany de Bagé will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Monsoon?
Guarany de Bagé has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monsoon won against Guarany de Bagé?
Monsoon has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon were as follows:
10.01.2026
Guarany de Bagé
-
Monsoon
1:1
06.02.2025
Monsoon
-
Guarany de Bagé
1:3
13.08.2023
Monsoon
-
Guarany de Bagé
0:0
06.08.2023
Guarany de Bagé
-
Monsoon
1:0
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Latest results of Monsoon
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final