Guarany de Bagé vs Monsoon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Relegation - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.930.71
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
31
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
71
Passes
80% (298/373)75% (211/281)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.930.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.11
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
118
Blocked shots
82
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
107
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1816
Passes
80% (298/373)75% (211/281)
Long passes
55% (27/49)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)60% (55/92)
Crosses
23% (6/26)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.31
Throw ins
3115
Fouls
1618
Tackles
83% (10/12)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6360
Clearances
2046
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.110.24
Goals prevented
0.110.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Jean Martim 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jean Martim , Marcao ,
  • 54', Medina F. , Camargo ,
  • 58', Yuri Bigode 🟨,
  • 62', Jean Carlo , Caio Rangel ,
  • 64', Allan , Raphinha ,
  • 64', Tony Junior , Lucao ,
  • 72', Luan Santos , Anderson Paraiba ,
  • 74', Marquinhos , Adailson ,
  • 84', Raphinha 🟨,
  • 86', Fabinho Polhao 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guarany de Bagé
48.5%
Draw
31.1%
Monsoon
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 31.6% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 30.8% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarany de Bagé's performance.
  • Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.15)
    2.94
    (2.94)
    4.53
    (3.7)
    8.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Guarany de Bagé (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Guarany de Bagé (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guarany de Bagé will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Guarany de Bagé (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Guarany de Bagé has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monsoon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Monsoon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guarany de Bagé will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarany de Bagé won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guarany de Bagé won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 1:1
    06.02.2025 Monsoon - Guarany de Bagé 1:3
    13.08.2023 Monsoon - Guarany de Bagé 0:0
    06.08.2023 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 1:0
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Latest results of Monsoon
    31.01.2026 Monsoon - São Luiz 2:2
    25.01.2026 Juventude - Monsoon 3:0
    18.01.2026 Monsoon - Avenida 0:0
    15.01.2026 Monsoon - Internacional RS 0:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio