Result
2:0
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (201/278) | 82% (325/398) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (201/278) | 82% (325/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (68/100) | 61% (70/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Talles 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Allison ⚽, Carlos Maia (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Rone 🟨,
- 58', Marcao ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 58', Guilherme Mantuan ↓, Muriel ↑,
- 69', Adailson ↓, Vitor Oliveira ↑,
- 69', Raphinha ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 77', Rone ↓, Vinicius Kiss ↑,
- 79', Talles ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
- 79', David Cunha ↓, Allan ↑,
- 82', Omar 🟨,
- 85', Luam Parede ↓, Santana V. ↑,
- 85', Allison ↓, Matheus Batista ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Matheus Batista ⚽,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novo Hamburgo
42.1% | Draw
31.5% | Guarany de Bagé
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novo Hamburgo's performance.Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarany de Bagé might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novo Hamburgo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarany de Bagé could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.54) |
2.9 ↑
(2.89) |
3.52 ↑
(2.76) |
8.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Hamburgo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guarany de Bagé has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hamburgo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamburgo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Hamburgo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Novo Hamburgo won against Guarany de Bagé?
Novo Hamburgo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Novo Hamburgo?
Guarany de Bagé has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
14.02.2024
Guarany de Bagé
-
Novo Hamburgo
2:0
Latest results of Novo Hamburgo
Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final
