Novo Hamburgo vs Guarany de Bagé – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio do Vale (Novo Hamburgo).

Gaucho - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.68	0.89
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
17	17
Shots on target
7	6
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
72% (201/278)	82% (325/398)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.68	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.10	1.11
Total shots
17	17
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
8	8
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
11	9
Shots outside the box
6	8
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
18	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
13	16
Passes
72% (201/278)	82% (325/398)
Long passes
44% (23/52)	37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
68% (68/100)	61% (70/115)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	1.01
Throw ins
19	23
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
64% (7/11)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
48	62
Clearances
29	24
Interceptions
15	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
6	5
xGOT faced
1.11	1.10
Goals prevented
1.11	-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Talles 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Allison ⚽, Carlos Maia (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Rone 🟨,
58', Marcao ↓, Lucao ↑,
58', Guilherme Mantuan ↓, Muriel ↑,
69', Adailson ↓, Vitor Oliveira ↑,
69', Raphinha ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
77', Rone ↓, Vinicius Kiss ↑,
79', Talles ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
79', David Cunha ↓, Allan ↑,
82', Omar 🟨,
85', Luam Parede ↓, Santana V. ↑,
85', Allison ↓, Matheus Batista ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Matheus Batista ⚽,
90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Novo Hamburgo
42.1%

Draw
31.5%

Guarany de Bagé
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.4%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.8%

32.3%

Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.54)	2.9 ↑ (2.89)	3.52 ↑ (2.76)	8.3% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

Preview Facts

Hamburgo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Guarany de Bagé has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Hamburgo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamburgo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Hamburgo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Novo Hamburgo won against Guarany de Bagé?

Novo Hamburgo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Guarany de Bagé won against Novo Hamburgo?

Guarany de Bagé has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Novo Hamburgo - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:

14.02.2024 Guarany de Bagé - Novo Hamburgo 2:0

Latest results of Novo Hamburgo

24.01.2026 Avenida - Novo Hamburgo 1:1 ✺

21.01.2026 São Luiz - Novo Hamburgo 1:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Novo Hamburgo - EC São José Porto Alegre 0:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Novo Hamburgo - Juventude 1:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Internacional RS - Novo Hamburgo 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Guarany de Bagé

24.01.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Inter Santa Maria 1:0 ✺

21.01.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Grêmio 0:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Caxias - Guarany de Bagé 4:1 ✺

15.01.2026 Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho Table

Main

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Internacional	6	5	0	1	14:5	9	15
2	Juventude	6	3	3	0	8:3	5	12
3	EC Sao Jose	6	2	3	1	4:3	1	9
4	Sao Luiz	6	1	4	1	6:10	-4	7
5	Avenida	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
6	Guarany de Bage	6	1	2	3	4:10	-6	5

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gremio	6	3	1	2	14:6	8	10
2	SER Caxias	6	2	1	3	8:5	3	7
3	Ypiranga FC	6	1	4	1	7:9	-2	7
4	Novo Hamburgo	6	1	3	2	5:5	0	6
5	Monsoon	6	1	3	2	5:11	-6	6
6	Inter Santa Maria	6	1	2	3	1:4	-3	5

Promotion ~ Gaucho (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)