Ypiranga vs Guarany de Bagé – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Round 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.090.17
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
285
Shots on target
51
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
72
Passes
84% (400/474)70% (180/256)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
2.090.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.02
Total shots
285
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
112
Blocked shots
122
Shots inside the box
182
Shots outside the box
103
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
418
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
148
Passes
84% (400/474)70% (180/256)
Long passes
61% (34/56)14% (6/42)
Passes in final third
68% (100/146)62% (39/63)
Crosses
45% (18/40)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.18
Throw ins
3930
Fouls
814
Tackles
70% (7/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5742
Clearances
1659
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.021.17
Goals prevented
0.020.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Nicolas 🟨,
  • 39', Tony Junior 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Adailson , Welder ,
  • 57', Henrique , Danielzinho ,
  • 57', Felipe Ferreira , Renan Gorne ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Willian Gomes (Own goal),
  • 63', Dionisio , Lucas Ramos ,
  • 72', Tony Junior , Jean Martim ,
  • 72', Raphinha , Allan ,
  • 75', Paulinho Souza 🟨,
  • 77', Murilo 🟨,
  • 81', Bruno Cardoso , David Cunha ,
  • 82', Nicolas , Marlone ,
  • 82', Gustavo Simoes , Mago ,
  • 90', Paulinho Souza , Marcao ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Ypiranga
49.4%
Draw
30.4%
Guarany de Bagé
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 27.3% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ypiranga's form might have worsened.
  • Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarany de Bagé's recent form is better than expected.
  • Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.59)
    3.01
    (3.36)
    4.53
    (6.15)
    9.5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ypiranga: 29%96%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ypiranga will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Ypiranga is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Ypiranga - Guarany de Bagé 1:0
    21.01.2024 Guarany de Bagé - Ypiranga 1:2
    Latest results of Ypiranga
    10.01.2026 Juventude - Ypiranga 1:1
    30.08.2025 Ypiranga - Figueirense 1:0
    23.08.2025 Ituano - Ypiranga 2:1
    18.08.2025 Ypiranga - Botafogo PB 2:2
    09.08.2025 Guarani - Ypiranga 2:1
    Latest results of Guarany de Bagé
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio