Guarany de Porto da Folha vs Carmópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Guarany de Porto da Folha - Carmópolis
Result
2:1
01/03/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Sergipano - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilIT tv Plus

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Joao Marcos ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Alanderson ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Guarany de Porto da Folha
57%
Draw
25.7%
Carmópolis
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 28.7% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 27.3% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Porto da Folha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarany de Porto da Folha's performance.
  • Carmópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carmópolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Porto da Folha than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarany de Porto da Folha that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carmópolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guarany de Porto da Folha - Carmópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.95)
    3.55
    (3.15)
    5.25
    (3.66)
    9.8%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Carmópolis is Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs )
    • Recent matches Guarany PF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carmópolis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Guarany PF will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Guarany de Porto da Folha
    Latest results of Carmópolis
    22.02.2025 Carmópolis - Lagarto 1:1
    10.02.2025 Falcon - Carmópolis 3:2
    03.02.2025 Barra SE - Carmópolis 3:2
    26.01.2025 Carmópolis - Confiança 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1