Guarany de Porto da Folha vs Desportiva Aracaju – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Luiz Fernando ,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Kaio Henrique ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Guarany de Porto da Folha
48.7%
Draw
27.4%
Desportiva Aracaju
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 25.5% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 21.7% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Porto da Folha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Desportiva Aracaju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Porto da Folha than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Aracaju than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Guarany de Porto da Folha - Desportiva Aracaju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.75)
    3.29
    (3.55)
    3.78
    (4)
    10.7%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Relegation).
    • Guarany PF has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Desportiva Aracaju is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Desportiva Aracaju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Guarany PF is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Desportiva Aracaju
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)