Guarany de Porto da Folha vs Falcon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
11/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 83', 0 - 1, Andre Castro ,

Chances of winning


Guarany de Porto da Folha
44.6%
Draw
30%
Falcon
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 26.6% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarany de Porto da Folha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Falcon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Porto da Folha than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Guarany de Porto da Folha - Falcon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.22)
    3.02
    (3.25)
    3.56
    (2.93)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Guarany de Porto da Folha - Falcon?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Guarany PF (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarany PF (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation).
    • Guarany PF is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Guarany PF has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Falcon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Falcon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Guarany PF might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarany PF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Guarany PF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarany de Porto da Folha - Falcon were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Guarany de Porto da Folha - Falcon 2:0
    Latest results of Falcon
    31.01.2026 Dorense - Falcon 1:0
    24.01.2026 Falcon - Sergipe 0:2
    21.01.2026 Confiança - Falcon 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)