Result
1:2 penalties
29/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Gold Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Herrera K. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Australia | ESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | OneSoccer, TLN, TSN 5, Univision Canada, VIVA |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 Netherlands | ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Saudi-arabia | Aloula, KSA Sports 1 |
 Singapore | HUB Sports 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | Sky Sports Korea |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Maincast |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Concacaf GO, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (207/271) | 82% (317/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (207/271) | 82% (317/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 55% (34/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (71/107) | 58% (38/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, David J. (Pen),
- 40', Shaffelburg J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Shaffelburg J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Buchanan T. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
- 60', Rubin R. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 1, Rubin R. ⚽, Santis O. (A),
- 71', Escobar O. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
- 71', Munoz R. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
- 71', Sigur N. ↓, Saliba N. ↑,
- 71', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
- 77', Rubin R. ↓, Lom D. ↑,
- 83', Rosales J. ↓, Saravia R. ↑,
- 90+1', David J. ↓, David P. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, David P. (Pen),
- 1, Santis O. (Pen),
- 2, Jebbison D. (Pen),
- 2, Samayoa N. (Pen),
- 3, Cornelius D. (Pen),
- 3, Herrera A. (Pen),
- 4, Choiniere M. (Pen),
- 4, Lom D. (Pen),
- 5, Larin C. (Pen),
- 5, Pinto J. (Pen),
- 6, Saliba N. (Pen),
- 6, Altan P. (Pen),
- 7, De Fougerolles L. (Pen),
- 7, Morales J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Canada
73% | Draw
18% | Guatemala
9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canada's performance.Guatemala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guatemala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canada than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guatemala than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guatemala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Canada - Guatemala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.53) |
5.3 ↑
(4.18) |
10.58 ↑
(6.44) |
5.1%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Canada - Guatemala?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canada: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Canada (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Canada is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Guatemala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Canada is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Canada will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Canada won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Canada won against Guatemala?
Canada has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guatemala won against Canada?
Guatemala has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canada - Guatemala were as follows:
01.07.2023
Guatemala
-
Canada
0:0
Latest results of Guatemala
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Costa Rica (A2) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Canada (B1) | Guatemala (C2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mexico (A1) | Saudi Arabia (D2) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Panama (C1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | USA (D1) | Guatemala (C2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mexico (A1) | Honduras (B2) | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | USA (D1) | Mexico (A1) | 1 : 2 |
