Result
0:1
14/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 El-salvador | Canal 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Concacaf GO, Paramount+, Peacock TV, Telemundo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/408) | 76% (228/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/408) | 76% (228/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/70) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (78/125) | 36% (22/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/26) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Morales J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 1, Santis O. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
- 49', Ordaz N. 🟨,
- 58', Lopez A. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
- 58', Lom D. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
- 59', Henriquez J. ↓, Rivera N. ↑,
- 62', Samayoa N. 🟨,
- 69', Robles S. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
- 70', Perez J. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,
- 70', Ordaz N. ↓, Tejada R. ↑,
- 83', Cerritos M. ↓, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↑,
- 85', Santis O. ↓, Castellanos O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salvador
33% | Draw
31.1% | Guatemala
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salvador's form might have worsened.Guatemala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guatemala's recent form is better than expected.
Salvador - Guatemala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.1) |
3.04 ↓
(3.33) |
2.67 ↓
(3.2) |
5.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Salvador - Guatemala?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Salvador will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Guatemala will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salvador: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Salvador (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salvador won 2.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Salvador won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Salvador won against Guatemala?
Salvador has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guatemala won against Salvador?
Guatemala has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salvador - Guatemala were as follows:
04.09.2025
Guatemala
-
Salvador
0:1
31.05.2025
Salvador
-
Guatemala
1:1
27.07.2024
Guatemala
-
Salvador
0:1
07.09.2023
Guatemala
-
Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Salvador
Latest results of Guatemala
FIFA World Cup Table
South America | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31:10 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24:17 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | -18 | 20 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6:21 | -15 | 12 |
| 10 | Chile | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ World Championship
Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )
